Tropical Storm BERTHA

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TROPICAL STORM BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  50
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022008
1500 UTC TUE JUL 15 2008
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.6N  62.7W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
EYE DIAMETER  40 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 75NE  90SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT.......100NE 120SE 100SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.6N  62.7W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.3N  63.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 36.4N  61.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  45SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 75NE  90SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 100SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 36.2N  60.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  45SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 75NE  90SE  90SW  75NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 120SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 35.1N  59.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  45SE  45SW   0NW.
50 KT... 75NE  90SE  90SW  75NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 120SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 34.1N  58.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  75SE  75SW  60NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 120SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 34.5N  54.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 37.5N  50.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 41.5N  46.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.6N  62.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/KIMBERLAIN
 
 
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