Hurricane BERTHA

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HURRICANE BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022008
0900 UTC MON JUL 07 2008
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N  50.2W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE  60SE  40SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 150SE  75SW 250NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N  50.2W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N  49.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 19.9N  52.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 20.8N  55.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 21.7N  57.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 22.7N  59.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 25.0N  62.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  75SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 28.0N  64.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 30.5N  64.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N  50.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
 
 
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