Tropical Storm DOLLY

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TROPICAL STORM DOLLY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042008
0300 UTC TUE JUL 22 2008
 
AT 10 PM CDT...0300 UTC...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM
BROWNSVILLE TO PORT O'CONNOR TEXAS.  A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
AT 10 PM CDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH
OF PORT O'CONNOR TO SAN LUIS PASS.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
AT 10 PM CDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WARNING FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER BETWEEN
MEXICO AND THE UNITED STATES.
 
AT 10 PM CDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH FROM LA PESCA TO SOUTH OF RIO SAN
FERNANDO.   A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N  92.8W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......175NE 120SE  30SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N  92.8W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N  92.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 23.9N  94.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  60SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 24.8N  95.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  60SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 25.6N  96.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  60SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 26.2N  98.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 26.5N 101.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.1N  92.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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