Hurricane IKE

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HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092008
0300 UTC MON SEP 08 2008
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA... HOLGUIN...LAS TUNAS AND
GRANMA...CAMAGUEY...CIEGO DE AVILA....VILLA CLARA...SANCTI
SPIRITUS...CIENFUEGOS...AND MATANZAS.  A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED  WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...
CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED
ISLANDS...AND FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE
EXUMAS...LONG  ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF LA
HABANA...CIUDAD DE HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF
YOUTH.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
ANDROS ISLAND IN THE BAHAMAS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF
SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS.
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR HAITI IS
DISCONTINUED.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS.
 
ALL INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE BAHAMAS AND SOUTH FLORIDA
SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS HURRICANE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N  75.8W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  945 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 180SE  60SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N  75.8W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.1N  75.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 21.4N  77.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
50 KT... 90NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 22.1N  79.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
50 KT... 90NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 22.8N  81.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 23.6N  83.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 25.0N  86.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT...100NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 26.5N  89.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 28.0N  92.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.1N  75.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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