Hurricane IKE

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HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092008
0300 UTC SUN SEP 07 2008
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS EXTENDED THE
HURRICANE WARNING TO THE PROVINCES OF LAS TUNAS AND GRANMA AND HAS
EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WATCH WESTWARD TO THE PROVINCE OF SANCTI
SPIRITUS.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN LAS TUNAS AND GRANMA.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...
CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED
ISLANDS...AND FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE
EXUMAS...LONG  ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO WESTWARD TO THE
NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN
PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE NORTHERN BOARDER WITH THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC TO GONAIVES.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
CAMAGUEY...CIEGO DE AVILA AND SANCTI SPIRITUS.
 
ALL INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE BAHAMAS...CUBA...SOUTH
FLORIDA...AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THIS POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS HURRICANE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N  70.9W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  947 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 120SE  90SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N  70.9W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.3N  70.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 21.0N  73.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 20.9N  75.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  40SW  45NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 21.0N  78.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  45SE  40SW  45NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 21.7N  80.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 23.5N  83.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 25.0N  86.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 26.5N  89.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.2N  70.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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