Hurricane GUSTAV

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HURRICANE GUSTAV FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072008
2100 UTC FRI AUG 29 2008
 
AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ISSUED FOR THE
LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO
DRY TORTUGAS.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...AND
FOR THE WESTERN CUBAN PROVINCES OF ISLA DE JUVENTUD...PINAR DEL
RIO...LA HABANA...AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA...AND FOR THE
CENTRAL CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS...CIENFUEGOS...VILLA
CLARA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...AND GRANMA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  79.7W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT.......140NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  79.7W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  79.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 20.1N  80.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 21.7N  82.8W...OVER ISLE OF YOUTH
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 23.4N  84.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 25.2N  86.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 120SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 28.0N  90.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 120SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 30.5N  92.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 32.0N  94.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N  79.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
 
 
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