Tropical Storm GUSTAV

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TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072008
0300 UTC FRI AUG 29 2008
 
HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS.  A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA...FOR THE
PROVINCES OF ISLA DE JUVENTUD...PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA...AND
CIUDAD DE LA HABANA.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN
36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF
GRANMA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF
MATANZAS.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GUSTAV.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  77.3W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  77.3W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  77.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 18.3N  78.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 19.1N  80.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 85NE  65SE  65SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 20.4N  82.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 21.9N  84.2W...NEAR COAST OF CUBA
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 25.5N  87.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 28.5N  90.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 30.0N  92.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N  77.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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