This is the accessible text file for GAO report number GAO-03-215R 
entitled 'Benefits and Costs of the Debt Relief Enhancement Act of 
2002' which was released on October 11, 2002.



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October 11, 2002:



The Honorable Joseph R. Biden:



United States Senate:



The Honorable Rick Santorum:



United States Senate:



Subject: Benefits and Costs of the Debt Relief Enhancement Act of 2002:



Despite years of effort to provide debt relief to the world’s poorest 

countries, these countries’ debt problems still have not been 

resolved[Footnote 1]



In summary, we found that the Debt Relief Enhancement Act would 

immediately lower the debt service of countries that qualify for 

relief. It would cost about $2.7 billion (present value) for 26 

countries over the next 3 years and have no effect on long-term debt 

sustainability. If applied over a 20-year period, the act’s provisions 

would address the long-term debt sustainability of these countries. 

However, the cost of the proposal would grow to between $7 billion and 

$12 billion (present value) for those 26 countries. An alternative debt 

relief proposal, promoted by the Bush administration, is to convert up 

to 50 percent of future multilateral concessional loans to 

grants.[Footnote 2] This proposal does not address the short-term debt 

service obligations of these countries. However, it substantially 

improves their prospects of achieving long-term debt sustainability. We 

estimate that the cost of implementing this proposal by the World Bank 

would be about $9.7 billion (present value) over 40 years and would 

lower the debt burdens of all 65 countries that are eligible to borrow 

only from the World Bank’s concessional resources.



In reviewing the cost of the Debt Relief Enhancement Act, we focused on 

the 26 countries in the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries Initiative that 

have qualified for debt relief as of July 2002. The primary data for 

our analysis were the World Bank’s and the International Monetary 

Fund’s (IMF) country-specific economic forecasts and debt service 

projections for these 26 countries. Specifically, we compared the 

annual debt service that the countries would pay if the act’s 

provisions were implemented with their projected debt service if the 

act were not implemented. We conducted this analysis for two time 

periods: the 3 years covered by the act and the 20 years covering the 

repayment period of more than 80 percent of the countries’ existing 

debt stock. The cost of converting 50 percent of multilateral loans to 

grants was based on our prior analysis of that proposal, which 

calculated a 40-year cost horizon for the countries that are eligible 

to borrow concessional resources from the World Bank. The 40-year cost 

horizon is consistent with the time period covered by the World Bank’s 

analysis.



We performed our work from August 2002 through September 2002 in 

accordance with generally accepted government auditing standards.



We are sending copies of this report to appropriate congressional 

committees and to the Honorable Paul O’Neill, Secretary of the 

Treasury. We are also sending copies to the World Bank and the IMF. 

Copies will be made available to others on request. In addition, this 

report will be available at no charge on our Web site at http://

www.gao.gov.



If you or your staff have questions about this report, please contact 

me at (202) 512-8979. Thomas Melito, Anthony Moran, Bruce Kutnick, R.G. 

Steinman, Ming Chen, Stephanie Robinson, and Janey Cohen made key 

contributions to this report.



Sincerely yours,



Joseph A. Christoff:



Director, International Affairs and Trade:



Signed by Joseph A. Christoff:



Enclosure:



[See PDF for image]



[End of section]



FOOTNOTES:



[1] Qualified countries are those that are eligible to receive debt 

relief under the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries Initiative. Countries 

are eligible if existing means are not enough to make debt levels 

sustainable and creditors are willing to finance the additional relief. 

In making this determination, the World Bank decides whether (in most 

cases) the ratio of a country’s debt (in present value terms) to the 

value of its exports is more than 150 percent.







[2] See U.S. General Accounting Office, Developing Countries: Switching 

Some Multilateral Loans to Grants Lessens Poor Country Debt Burdens, 

GAO-02-593 (Washington, D.C.: Apr. 19, 2002).