Tropical Storm NOEL

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TROPICAL STORM NOEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162007
0900 UTC THU NOV 01 2007

...CORRECTED FLORIDA WARNING SECTION...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS CANCELED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR CUBA.
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA COAST FROM NORTH OF OCEAN REEF TO DEERFIELD
BEACH.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF DEERFIELD
BEACH TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N  78.5W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR   0 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE   0SW 115NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 100SE   0SW 115NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N  78.5W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N  78.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 25.0N  78.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE   0SW 115NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 27.2N  76.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  25SW 115NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 30.5N  73.4W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  50SW 115NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 34.8N  70.1W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW 180NW.
34 KT...300NE 240SE  60SW 300NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 43.5N  63.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...240NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
34 KT...360NE 420SE 270SW 240NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 53.0N  52.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 57.5N  42.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.7N  78.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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