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National Situation Update: Monday, June 4, 2007

Homeland Security Threat Level: YELLOW (ELEVATED).

National Weather Summary

Northeast
Tropical rainstorm Barry is spreading steady, soaking rain northward from the mid-Atlantic through New England. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are possible along the path of the storm. A cold front will begin to move in from the west on Monday with showers and thunderstorms moving eastward across the region.

South
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected Monday afternoon along the Gulf Coast and in West Texas.

Midwest
A cold front will dip southward into the northern Plains and Great Lakes bringing the possibility of severe thunderstorms to the Plains. In addition, a few severe thunderstorms may develop across South Dakota, Nebraska and Iowa Monday afternoon and evening.

West
A Pacific cold front will move onshore Monday, reducing temperatures across Washington and Oregon, bringing showers west of the Cascades, and creating a few strong thunderstorms over the Great Basin. A few strong thunderstorms may also develop late in the day in the Rockies. The cold front will move eastward on Tuesday and Wednesday with strong thunderstorms, showery rains, and high mountain snows possible.(NWS, Media Sources)

Tropical Weather Outlook

Atlantic/Caribbean:

• Sunday afternoon the National Hurricane Center classified Barry as a tropical rainstorm with its storm center close to the North Carolina coastline.
• At 4:00 am EDT the storm was located approximately 35 miles northeast of Ocean City, Maryland and was moving toward the north at approximately 27 mph. Maximum sustained winds were estimated to be 20 mph, mainly to the west of the center of circulation.
• The heavy showers associated with the storm are moving into New England. Flood watches are currently in effect across much of the New England states, particularly Connecticut, Rhode Island, and New Jersey. The intensity and coverage of showers across much of the Mid-Atlantic States has decreased; however scattered showers may remain through the morning hours.
• The extratropical remnants of Barry are forecast to move northward across New England and into eastern Canada through Monday night, bringing 1 to 2 inches of rain to these areas.
• Elsewhere, tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.

Eastern Pacific: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.

Western Pacific: No tropical cyclones are expected to affect U.S. Territories or interests through Tuesday morning. (NOAA, National Hurricane Center, Central Pacific Hurricane Center and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center)

Earthquake Activity

No new activity (FEMA HQ)

Preliminary Damage Assessments

The State of Kansas has requested Individual Assistance PDAs for 10 counties and Public Assistance PDAs for three counties.(FEMA HQ)

Wildfire Update

National Preparedness Level:   2
States Most Affected: Georgia and Florida
National Fire Activity as of Sunday, 3 June, 2007 at 10:00 am EDT:

• Initial attack activity: Light (154 new fires burning 1,892 acres).
• New large fires:                 2
• Large fires contained:                3
• Uncontained large fires:              15
• Year to date fires:       37,355
• Year to date acres burned 1,341,109

Fire Weather Discussion:

• On Saturday, heavy rain spread over the peninsula of Florida, and a few locations in South Florida received more than 6 inches of rain. Notable rainfall amounts include 6.0 inches in Melbourne; 7.0 inches in West Palm Beach; and 5.2 inches in Chiefland. The rain also helped contain the wildland fires in Georgia and Florida.
• The heavy rainfall in the southeastern U. S. helped firefighters contain 3 large fires in Georgia and Florida. Many of the remaining large fires are reaching containment goals.
• Fire crews in the Southeast will continue with mop-up, line improvement and structure protection. Dry air will move into the Southeast this coming week.
• Lightning actively ignited new fires in California and extreme temperatures led to a new large fire in Idaho. (National Interagency Fire Center, National Incident Information Center, media)

Disaster Declaration Activity

No new activity (FEMA HQ)