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Table 3: Borderplex Transportation Historical and Forecast Data

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Year Actual data Structural model forecast Random walk
Domestic Passenger Air Arrivals (thousands)
1998 1,590.138 1,627.3 1,600.5
1999 1,631.010 1,677.7 1,600.5
2000 1,611.738 1,729.6 1,600.5
1999 1,631.010 1,630.9 1,607.1
2000 1,611.738 1,654.9 1,607.1
2001 1,516.602 1,679.8 1,607.1
2000 1,611.738 1,664.2 1,631.0
2001 1,516.602 1,701.5 1,631.0
2002 1,414.823 1,743.5 1,631.0
2001 1,516.602 1,573.2 1,611.7
2002 1,414.823 1,560.4 1,611.7
2003 1,443.058 1,581.0 1,611.7
2002 1,414.823 1,451.1 1,451.1
2003 1,443.058 1,476.0 1,451.1
2003 1,443.058 1,413.2 1,414.8
Inbound Air Freight (thousand tons)
1998 47.396 41.475 39.273
1999 55.600 44.802 39.273
2000 55.204 48.565 39.273
1999 55.600 44.237 40.317
2000 55.204 48.800 40.317
2001 46.013 53.467 40.317
2000 55.204 58.673 56.131
2001 46.013 63.098 56.131
2002 51.637 67.427 56.131
2001 46.013 48.556 54.958
2002 51.637 47.683 54.958
2003 45.366 50.941 54.958
2002 51.637 52.066 46.013
2003 45.366 54.573 46.013
2003 45.366 46.854 51.637
Bridge of the Americas Northbound Light Vehicle Traffic (millions)
1998 7.553 7.870 7.421
1999 8.196 8.048 7.421
2000 8.168 8.229 7.421
1999 8.196 8.090 7.942
2000 8.168 8.209 7.942
2001 7.295 8.327 7.942
2000 8.168 8.276 8.196
2001 7.295 8.394 8.196
2002 4.708 8.534 8.196
2001 7.295 7.723 8.168
2002 4.708 7.800 8.168
2003 4.680 7.889 8.168
2002 4.708 4.655 7.295
2003 4.680 4.771 7.295
2003 4.680 4.820 3.658
Ysleta-Zaragoza Bridge Northbound Cargo Vehicles (millions)
1998 0.294 0.327 0.289
1999 0.329 0.368 0.289
2000 0.365 0.411 0.289
1999 0.329 0.345 0.314
2000 0.365 0.374 0.314
2001 0.331 0.403 0.314
2000 0.365 0.356 0.329
2001 0.331 0.379 0.329
2002 0.329 0.400 0.329
2001 0.331 0.367 0.365
2002 0.329 0.369 0.365
2003 0.311 0.372 0.365
2002 0.329 0.319 0.331
2003 0.311 0.326 0.331
2003 0.311 0.319 0.329
Research and Innovative Technology Administration (RITA) • U.S. Department of Transportation (US DOT)
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