TABLE 4 Bayesian Parameter Estimates and Goodness of Fit Measures for Linear and Quadratic Models Applied to the RARU Data.,,,,,, ,Linear model,,, Quadratic model,, "Parameter/ measure",Mean,2.5 percentile,97.5 percentile,Mean,2.5 percentile,97.7 percentile b0,–7.35,–10.64,–5.29,–7.66,–11.72,–5.36 b1,0.54,0.33,0.84,0.55,0.15,1.11 b2,—,—,—,0.0018,–0.018,0.025 deviance,36.33,26,48,36.3,25.6,48.5 DIC,,40,,,39.6,