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We have reorganized our Research Programs. Most of the research projects from this program are now organized under the Physical Environment Prediction Research Program.
GLERL CLIMATE CHANGE and VARIABILITY PROGRAM
Task Leader: Brent Lofgren
This research program brings together projects that examine the potential effects of climate change on the Great Lakes water resources and ecosystem.
Conduct studies to identify and improve our understanding of the impacts of climate change and variability on socio-economic frameworks and ecosystem structure and function, including those through intermediate effects such as changes in the water supply of the Great Lakes Basin. This will aid in improving planning for regional adaptation strategies. Analyze and model climate variables over the last 100 years and projections in the future to identify the implications to regional water resources, ice cover, water levels, and ecosystem health in the Great Lakes Basin.
Current Projects
- Great Lakes Ice Thickness Data Rescue
- Great Lakes Ice Cycle
- Improved Great Lakes Ice Cover Climatology
- Climatology of the Physical Environment in Lake Erie Project
- Recent Lake Levels and Precipitation in Historical Perspective
- Dynamical Modeling of Great Lakes Regional Climate
- Climate and Land Use Change Processes in East Africa
- Overlake Wind Events on Lake Erie
Climate Change and Variability Products
- Great Lakes Water Levels: Current Daily Great Lakes Water Level Plots, Great Lakes Hydrographs
- Great Lakes Ice Atlas An Electronic Atlas of Great Lakes Ice Cover Winters: 1973 - 2002
- click here for October 2003 article in NOAA magazine about the Great Lakes Ice Atlas
- click here for July 2003 article in NOAA magazine about Great Lakes water levels
Recent Climate Change and Variability Program Publications
(See also Complete List of GLERL Publications)
2004
LOFGREN, B.M. Global warming effects on Great Lakes water: more precipitation but less water? Proceedings, 18th Conference on Hydrology, 8th Annual meeting of the American Meteorological Society, Seattle, WA, January 11-15, 2004, 3 pp. 2004. http://www.glerl.noaa.gov/pubs/fulltext/2004/20040002.pdf
2003
Assel, R.A., K. Cronk, and D. C. Norton. 2003. Recent Trends in Laurentian Great Lakes Ice Cover. Climatic Change 57:185-204. http://www.glerl.noaa.gov/pubs/fulltext/2003/20030001.pdf
ASSEL, R.A. Great Lakes monthly and seasonal accumulations of freezing degree days – winters 1898-2002. NOAA Technical Memorandum GLERL-127. NOAA, Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory, Ann Arbor, MI, 36 pp. (2003). ftp://ftp.glerl.noaa.gov/publications/tech_reports/glerl-127/tm-127.pdf
Assel, R. A. 2003. An Electronic Atlas of Great Lakes Ice Cover, Winters 1973-2002. NOAA Atlas. NOAA, Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory, Ann Arbor, MI, 2 CD-ROM Set or DVD.
Assel, R. A. 2003. Great Lakes ice cover, first ice, last ice, and ice duration. NOAA Technical Memorandum GLERL-125. NOAA, Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory, Ann Arbor, MI, 49 pp. ftp://ftp.glerl.noaa.gov/publications/tech_reports/glerl-125/tm-125.pdf
Croley, T. E. II, and C. L. Luukkonen. 2003. Potential effects of climate change on ground water in Lansing, Michigan. Journal of the American Water Resources Association 39(1):149-163.
Clites, A. H., and F. H. Quinn. 2003. The history of Lake Superior regulation: implications for the future. Journal of Great Lakes Research 29(1):157-171.
Lofgren, B. M. 2003. Simulation of possible future effects of Greenhouse Warming on Great Lakes water supply using a regional climate model. Proceedings, 17th Conference on Hydrology, Long Beach, CA, February 8-13, 2003. American Meteorological Society, Boston, MA, 4 pp.
Past Projects
- National Climate Impacts Study
- Potential Impacts of ENSO on Great Lakes climate
- Lake Michigan Potential Damage Study
- Impacts of Climate Change on the Great Lakes Basin
- Great Lakes Water Level Statistics
Last updated: 2004-05-15 jjs