Tropical Depression ODILE Forecast Discussion

000
WTPZ41 KNHC 122040
TCDEP1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ODILE DISCUSSION NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP162008
200 PM PDT SUN OCT 12 2008

AND YET ODILE GAVE ANOTHER SURPRISE. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES REVEAL
THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER REMAINED STATIONARY AND IT IS LOCATED
FARTHER TO THE SOUTHEAST THAN PREVIOUSLY INDICATED. I TRACKED A
MIDDLE LEVEL CENTER THAT MOVED FASTER TO THE NORTHWEST AND THEN
DISSIPATED.  ODILE IS RAPIDLY BECOMING A TIGHT SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS
DEVOID OF DEEP CONVECTION SITTING JUST TO THE SOUTHWEST OF
MANZANILLO. SINCE THERE IS STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY SHEAR...ADDITIONAL
WEAKENING IS FORECAST WHILE THE REMNANTS DRIFT NORTHWESTWARD AND THE
WESTWARD.

THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ON ODLE UNLESS REGENERATION
OCCURS.  FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE
HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER
AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      12/2100Z 18.8N 104.5W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 12HR VT     13/0600Z 19.0N 105.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 24HR VT     13/1800Z 19.0N 106.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     14/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER AVILA/FRANKLIN