:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity :Issued: 2009 Jan 13 2201 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 013 Issued at 2200Z on 13 Jan 2009 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 12/2100Z to 13/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. The only region on the visible disk is Region 1010 (N18W20) which has been quiet as it experienced slow decay. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low. There is a slight chance for a C-class flare from Region 1010. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 12/2100Z to 13/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be predominately quiet for the next three days (14 - 16 January). III. Event Probabilities 14 Jan-16 Jan Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF Green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 13 Jan 071 Predicted 14 Jan-16 Jan 070/070/070 90 Day Mean 13 Jan 069 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 12 Jan 000/000 Estimated Afr/Ap 13 Jan 005/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 14 Jan-16 Jan 005/005-005/005-005/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 14 Jan-16 Jan A. Middle Latitudes Active 01/01/01 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 05/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01