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ALZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 10/07/08 2105Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 2045Z		DS
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LOCATION...SW ALABAMA...S MISSISSIPPI...SE LOUISIANA...
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ATTN WFOS...MOB...JAN...LIX...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...
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EVENT...CNVTN OVER SE LA/S MS
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...SEVERAL AREAS OF CNVTN ARE PRODUCING HVY
RAINS OVER SE LA AND SRN MS. OVER PLAQUEMINES PARISH..WRN END OF OFFSHORE
MCS HAS BEEN PRODUCING HVY RAINS FOR SEVERAL HRS NOW WITH AUTOMATED STLT
ESTIMATES SHOWING 2.5" IN THE PAST 3 HRS ENDING 2030Z OVER THE SERN TIP
OF THE PARISH. THOUGH THIS CNVTN HAS STARTED TO COLLAPSE WITH OUTFLOW
NOW MOVING SW IN VIS IMAGERY..OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS INDICATES HIGHLY CNVG
AREA JUST TO THE W ACROSS EXTREME SE LA AND SE MS. WITHIN THIS SFC CNVG
IS ALREADY ONE BAND OF SLOW MOVING CELLS STRETCHING FROM NE ST. TAMMANY
PARISH TO WAYNE COUNTY/MS. LINE OF STORMS MOVING EWD ACROSS CENTRAL
MS/SE LA SHOULD HELP TO PROGRESS THIS SLOWER MOVING BAND EVENTUALLY BUT
DURING THE NEXT 1-2 HRS LIKELY WILL ONLY SERVE TO ENHANCE HVY RAINFALL
ACROSS SE LA/SE MS INTO SW AL. STLT WINDS INDICATE AN ARE OF UPPER LVL
DVG OVER SE LA/S MS..PARTLY DUE TO THE OFFSHORE MCS AND PARTLY DUE TO
LARGER SCALE FLOW AS S/WV TROF APPROACHES FROM THE NW. MANUEL ESTIMATES
GIVE POSSIBLE RAINRATES OVER 2"/HR AS OVERSHOOTING TOPS ARE PRESENT ON
MANY OF THE STORMS PER VIS IMAGERY. PLEASE SEE WEB ADDRESS BELOW FOR
ESTIMATE GRAPHIC SHORTLY.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3184 9010 3138 8872 2916 8793 2860 8976 2978 9074
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