ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
ILZ000-MOZ000-IAZ000-KSZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 09/14/08 0428Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13 0415Z  RUMINSKI
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LOCATION...ILLINOIS...MISSOURI...IOWA...KANSAS...
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ATTN WFOS...ILX...LSX...DVN...SGF...DMX...EAX...TOP...ICT...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...NCRFC...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...HEAVY RAIN AND WITH IKE AS IT TRACKS TO THE NORTHEAST
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...AT THE RISK OF STATING THE OBVIOUS..HEAVY
RAIN SPREADING/EXPANDING IN A BROAD CHANNEL IN AN AXIS FROM SW TO NE MO
AND INT EXTRM SE IA AND W CENTRAL IL. MANY FACTORS IN PLAY TO SUPPORT
BROAD AREA OF HEAVY RAIN INCLUDING TREMENDOUS POOL OF DEEP TROPICAL
MOISTURE (PW'S AOA 2.3") BEING LIFTED BY STG SRLY FLOW INTO SHARP FNTL
BNDRY LAYING ACRS MO. ADD TO THIS BROAD UPR DIVERGENCE AND RR QUAD OF
120KT JET (AS PER LATEST GOES DERIVED MESO WIND ANAL).
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ENHANCING CD CLD TOPS ARE SPREADING FROM SW MO INTO CENTRAL AND NE
MO. BROAD CLD SHIELD MAKING IT DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT AREAS OF HEAVIEST
RAIN..ESP SINCE HEAVIEST RAIN SEEMS TO BE DRIVEN BY WARM CLD PROCESSES. IN
GENERAL..HEAVIEST RAIN APPEARS TO BE ALG SRN EDGE OF GRADIENT ON COLDER
CLD TOPS AS IN BAROCLINIC LEAF TYPE PTN. ONGOING AREA OF RAIN OVER
CENTRAL/NE MO IS LINED UP N OF BEST LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE
AND 8H THETA-E ADV AXIS. WITH HEAVY RAIN FROM LAST 24 HRS (AT LEAST)
OVER N CENTRAL AND NE MO INTO SE IA AND W CENTRAL IL THESE AREAS ARE
PARTICULARLY VULNERABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT FLOOD EVENT.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4125 9136 4014 8995 3704 9357 3819 9572
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