ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
MIZ000-INZ000-WIZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-IAZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 09/13/08 0445Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13 0433Z  RUMINSKI
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LOCATION...MICHIGAN...INDIANA...WISCONSIN...ILLINOIS...
LOCATION...MISSOURI...IOWA...KANSAS...NEBRASKA...
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ATTN WFOS...IWX...GRR...IND...LOT...ILX...MKX...LSX...DVN...DMX...
ATTN WFOS...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...
ATTN RFCS...OHRFC...NCRFC...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...HEAVY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH QUASISTATIONARY BOUNDARY IN MIDWEST
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...STLT PRESENTATION FROM ERN KS ACRS NRN
MO..SE IA AND INTO NRN IL IS NOT VERY IMPRESSIVE AT FIRST GLANCE. BUT
HEAVY RAIN/FF THREAT COMING FROM LARGE AREA OF DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE
AND PERSISTENT RAIN OVER THE RGN PAST FEW DAYS. PW VALUES AOA 2.25"
(200 PERCENT OF NORMAL) ARE POOLED ALG AND JUST S OF FNTL BNDRY. BROAD
AREA OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE PERSISTS FROM ERN KS INTO NRN IL
WITH BEST 8H THETA-E ADV FROM NE MO INTO CENTRAL/NRN IL. 3H STLT DERIVED
MESO WIND ANAL SHOWS SE IA/NE MO/NRN IL IN RR QUAD OF 80KT SPD MAX ACRS
CENTRAL GRTLKS WITH UPR LEVEL DIVERGENCE MAX COINCIDING WITH ENHAMCING
CLD TOPS ACRS THE AREA.
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FOR KANSAS/NW MISSOURI..MAINLY VERY WARM TOPPED SHOWERS ATTM WITH LITTLE
IN THE WAY OF LIGHTNING..MAINLY OVER JOHNSON COUNTY. WITH WARM RAIN
PROCESSES AND BOUNTIFUL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CONTG TO FEED INTO THE RGN
THESE SHOWERS ARE EFFICIENT RAIN PRODUCERS. REPEAT ACTIVITY ESP LIKELY
FROM JOHNSON/LEAVENWORTH COUNTIES IN KS NEWRD INTO NW AND N CENTRAL MO.
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FOR NE MISSOURI/SE IOWA/NRN ILLINOIS..MORE LIGHTNING ACTIVITY WITH AREA OF
ENHANCED CLDS IN STLT IMAGERY ACRS THIS RGN WHERE THERE IS BEST DYNAMIC
SUPPORT AS NOTED ABV. AUTOMATED STLT ESTS ARE SHOWING MAX 3 HR AMNTS OF
1-2" INVOF OF CHARITON/LINN COUNTIES IN N CENTRAL MO AND PEORIA/TAZEWELL
COUNTIES IN CENTRAL IL. THESE HEAVIER RAIN AMNTS ARE ASCD WITH SRN EDGE
OF ENHANCED CLDS. EXPECT A BROAD STRIPE OF 1-2" RAINFALL NEXT SEVERAL
HRS FROM NE MO AND EXTRM SE IA ACRS MUCH OF THE NRN THIRD OF IL INCLUDING
THE CHICAGO METRO AREA.
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QUICK LOOK AT 0433Z IMAGE SHOWS CLD TOPS COOLING TO AS LOW AS -63C OVER
MERCER AND LIVINGSTON COUNTIES IN IL. 1.0" TO 1.25" PER HLF HR PSBL WITH
THESE CELLS.
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GRAPHIC WILL BE AVAILABLE AT WEB ADDRESS BELOW SHORTLY.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4288 8645 4086 8549 3783 9563 4018 9774
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