ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
MOZ000-IAZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/28/08 0840Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0832Z  HANNA
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LOCATION...MISSOURI...IOWA...
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ATTN WFOS...LSX...DVN...DMX...EAX...
ATTN RFCS...NCRFC...MBRFC...
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EVENT...HEAVY RAIN
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...THE HEAVIEST RAIN THREAT HAS PRIMARILY
MIGRATED INTO THE NW PORTION OF THE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION AREA.  HAVE NOTED
VERY LITTLE MOVEMENT TO UPWIND PORTION OF THE WELL ESTABLISHED CONVECTIVE
WEDGE THAT CURRENTLY RESIDES OVER MOSTLY SOUTH CENTRAL IA.  ISENTROPIC
ASCENT CONTINUES OVER OUTFLOW REINFORCED FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND THIS ALLOWED
FOR CONVECTION TO CONTINUOUSLY DEVELOP UPSTREAM AND MERGE INTO THE APEX
OF THE WEDGE.  THE MOST PERSISTENT TRAINING APPEARS TO HAVE COME ALONG
AN AXIS FROM N GUTHRIE SE TO N CLARKE COUNTY.  THERE DOES APPEAR TO BE
SOME VERY SLIGHT WARMING OF THE OVERALL CLOUD CANOPY BUT STILL NUMEROUS
OVERSHOOTING TOPS WERE EVIDENT ALONG THE GUTHRIE TO CLARKE COUNTY AXIS.
LOCALLY SATURATED ATMOSPHERE ALONG THIS AXIS WOULD SUGGEST THAT RAINFALL
RATES ARE LIKELY EXCEEDING 2.0"/HR IN THE MOST INTENSE CONVECTIVE CORES
WHILE 3 HOUR MANUAL DERIVED RAINFALL TOTALS ARE IN THE 2.5-5.0" RANGE.
IT DOES APPEAR AS THOUGH THE 85H WINDS HAVE VEERED AROUND TO ABOUT
280 ON THE LATEST OAX VWP AND WITH TIME THIS SHOULD HELP TO ALTER THE
INSTABILITY TRANSPORT ENOUGH TO EVENTUALLY ALLOW FOR SOME PROGRESSION
TO MCS.  WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4250 9469 4226 9408 4160 9329 3966 9149 3882 9135 3856
9205 3873 9290 3965 9386 4076 9467 4224 9523
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