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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/27/08 0550Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0532Z  HANNA
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LOCATION...NEW MEXICO...ARIZONA...
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ATTN WFOS...EPZ...TWC...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...CBRFC...
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EVENT...TRAINING CONVECTION FROM SE GRAHAM TO N HIDALGO COUNTY
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...OVER THE LAST 1-2 HOURS CONVECTION HAS
CONTINUED TO MERGE AND COOL OVER THE DISCUSSION AREA.  OUTFLOW HAS HELPED
TO PUSH THE COMPLEX VERY SLOWLY SW OVER THE LAST HOUR BUT STILL CONVECTION
HAS BEEN CONTINUOUSLY REDEVELOPING OVER PORTIONS OF GRAHAM COUNTY WHILE
TRAINING SE THROUGH EXTREME S GREENLEE/NE COCHISE AND INTO NORTHERN
HIDALGO.  IT APPEARS THE MOST ACTIVE CONVECTION WITHIN LARGER COMPLEX
HAS MIGRATED INTO N HIDALGO COUNTY NEAR ROUTE 10 JUST W OF LORDSBURG.
IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA FEATURES VERY ACTIVE CLOUD TOPS WITH MULTIPLE
OVERSHOOTING TOPS TO -80C.  THIS WOULD SUGGEST THAT RAINFALL RATES ARE
LIKELY RUNNING BETWEEN 1.5-2.0"/HR WITH THIS CELL.  IT STILL APPEARS
AS THOUGH CONVECTION IS TRYING TO REDEVELOP OVER SE GRAHAM COUNTY PER
RECENT IR IMAGERY SHOWING ENHANCING CLOUD TOPS IN THE VIC OF SAFFORD.
THIS SHOULD CONTINUE THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT OVER THE DISCUSSION AREA OVER
THE NEXT FEW HOURS WITH LOCAL RAINFALL RATES OF 1.0-2.0"/HR IN THE MOST
ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CORES AND LOCAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1-3" POSSIBLE FROM
APPROXIMATELY SAFFORD IN GRAHAM COUNTY TO NEAR THE STEINS GHOST TOWN
AREA ALONG ROUTE 10.
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VERY QUICK PEAK AT 0545Z IMAGE AND IT SHOWS VERY LITTLE MOVEMENT TO
THE OVERSHOOTING TOP NEAR LORDSBURG.  THUS HEAVY RAIN THREAT LOOKS TO
CONTINUE IN THIS GENERAL VIC.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3336 10930 3294 10865 3242 10832 3159 10828 3219 10949
3287 11011 3334 10988
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