ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
TNZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/26/08 0255Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0245Z  RUMINSKI
.
LOCATION...TENNESSEE...KENTUCKY...MISSOURI...ARKANSAS...
.
ATTN WFOS...PAH...MEG...LSX...SGF...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...NCRFC...MBRFC...
.
EVENT...CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS OVER SOUTHEAST MISSOURI INTO WESTERN TENNESSEE
AND WESTERN KENTUCKY
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...COPIOUS MOISTURE IN PLACE ACRS THE RGN
WITH EVE RAOBS AND GOES DERIVED PW/S SHOWING AOA 2" AMNTS. SFC TD'S IN
THE MID TO UPR 70S. LATEST GOES DERIVED LI/S SHOW MUCH OF CENTRAL MO
WITH -5 OR LESS (SE MO CLOUD COVERED SO NO VALUES THERE).
.
WITH CNVTN ALRDY OCRG OVER SE MO CONCERN IS THAT CLUSTER THAT HAS
DEVELOPED IN CENTRAL AND E CENTRAL MO WILL EVOLVE INTO AN MCS AND
PROPAGATE OVER THE SAME AREA. CLD TOP TEMPS AS CD AS -75C WITH THIS
CLUSTER. CNVTN IS BEING AIDED BY JET MAX ACRS IA WHERE STLT DERIVED
WINDS SHOW 75 KT MAX WINDS. AS THIS FEATURE SHIFTS E OVERNIGHT IT WILL
LEAVE ERN MO IN FAVORABLE RR QUAD FOR ADDED LIFT.
.
STLT PRECIP ESTS HAD A MAX OF 2-3" OVER STODDARD COUNTY PAST 3 HRS WITH
1.5 TO 2.0" OVER MILLER..CRAWFORD AND GASCONADE. CNVTN HAS BEEN PRETTY
PROGRESSIVE THUS FAR AND THIS HAS LIMITED RAINFALL TOTS..WHICH HAS MADE
TRAINING THE LARGER CONCERN. BUT FLOW IS WEAKER WITH CELLS SOMEWHAT
SLOWER MVG IN WRN TN AND KY AND THE MO BOOTHEEL. AND WITH SUCH A MOIST
AMS RAIN RATES CAN BECOME TORRENTIAL SO WILL MONITOR CLOSELY OVERNIGHT.
.
QUICK LOOK AT 0245Z IMAGE SHOWS GENERAL EXPANSION OF CD CLD TOPS ASCD
WITH CNVTN OVER WRN TN..SE MO AND E CNTRL MO.
.
SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
.
SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
.
LAT...LON 3860 9102 3623 8861 3538 9022 3777 9219
.
NNNN