ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
TXZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/23/08 1930Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 1915Z			DS
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LOCATION...S TEXAS...
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ATTN WFOS...CRP...BRO...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...
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EVENT...DOLLY MAKING LANDFALL
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...CENTER OF DOLLY IS SEEN IN LATEST
STLT/RADAR IMAGERY CROSSING S PADRE ISLAND AND WILL BE MAKING LANDFALL
IN ERN WILLACY COUNTY VERY SHORTLY. 19Z SFC WINDS FROM HRL/BRO SHOW
45KTS AND 40 KTS RESPECTIVELY WRAPPING AROUND THE SRN SIDE OF THE
EYEWALL. OFFSHORE OB ON THE NE SIDE OF THE EYE SHOWING 35KT WINDS TWDS
LAND. IR STILL DEPICTS COLD CLOUD TOPS ON THE E/NE SIDE OF THE EYE THAT
VIS/RADAR DISCOUNTS AND THIS IS CAUSING ERRORS IN AUTOMATED STLT ESTIMATES
IN THAT AREA. WITH THE ENHANCING SWRN PART OF THE EYEWALL OVER PARTS OF
CAMERON/WILLACY AND SOON TO BE AFFECTING E HIDALGO COUNTY..MANUEL STLT
ESTIMATES GIVE AMOUNTS OF 3-4" DURING THE 90 MIN PERIOD 1745-1915Z. GIVEN
VIS/IR STLT PRESENTATION..CELLS ARE TRYING TO FORM AROUND THE WRN SIDE
OF THE EYE AND MAY CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HRS TO STRENGTHEN..THOUGH
EFFECTS OF LANDFALL COMPLICATE THE SCENARIO AS TO HOW FAR AROUND THE
CELLS WILL FILL IN.
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IN ADDTN TO AREAS OF DEEP S TX..AM CONCERNED ABOUT OUTER BAND THAT IS
SEEN WRAPPING IN OVER RKP TO KALI INCLUDED JUST N OF THE CRP AREA. WITH
RKP PICKING UP JUST OVER 1.5" IN 3 HRS IN THE DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE
AND VERY GOOD PROBABILITY OF TRAINING CELLS IN THE SPIRAL BAND ACROSS
RKP AREA TO SE OF COT SWD THROUGH DUVAL/JIM HOGG COUNTIES..HVY RAINFALL
WILL CERTAINLY BE A PROBLEM THERE AS WELL. WILL CONTINUE TO MONTITOR.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 2837 9585 2666 9523 2393 9722 2773 10038
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