ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
ILZ000-MOZ000-IAZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/22/08 0122Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0115Z        CW
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LOCATION...CENTRAL ILLINOIS...NE MISSOURI...
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ATTN WFOS...LOT...ILX...LSX...DVN...DMX...EAX...
ATTN RFCS...OHRFC...NCRFC...MBRFC...
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EVENT...LOCALIZED HVY RAINS FROM CELL MERGERS AND TRAINING FROM RAPIDLY
DEVELOPING CONVECTION ALONG FRONTAL BOUNDARY
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...WITHIN THE LAST HR CONVECTION HAS RAPIDLY
BEGUN TO DEVELOP ACROSS NE MO/CENTRAL IL ALONG W-E FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED
ACROSS THIS SAME AREA.  WV LOOP SHOWS S/WV DIVING SEWD ACROSS NE IA/S WI
PROVIDING ENHANCED VERTICAL MOTIONS FOR THESE STORMS TO FURTHER INTENSIFY.
AS STORMS BEGIN TO BECOME MORE ORGANIZED AND LIKELY MERGE INTO AN MCS TYPE
EVENT LATER..THREAT OF VERY HVY RAINS FOR LOCALIZED AREAS WILL INCREASE.
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NE MO...W-E LINE OF CONVECTIVE CELLS MOVING ESEWD IS ONE AREA OF
CONCERN AS CELLS LIKELY WILL MERGE WITH EACH OTHER CAUSING RAIN RATES
TO JUMP..POTENTIALLY INCREASING TO 1.5-2.0"/HR.  ATTM LINE IS OVER
SULLIVAN/ADAIR/KNOX/LEWIS COUNTIES IN MO AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
MOVING ESE FOR THE NEXT 1-2 HRS.
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CENTRAL IL..CELL MERGERS ALREADY ARE EVIDENT FROM LAST FEW VIS IMAGES OF
THE DAY AS WELL AS IR IMAGERY.  VERY HVY RAINS ARE LIKELY OCCURRING OVER
MASON/FULTON/TAZEWELL/LOGAN/MENARD COUNTIES IN CENTRAL IL.  OVERSHOOTING
TOPS WITH CLOUD TOP TEMPS OF -67C ARE IDENTIFIED OVER MASON CO FROM
0115Z IMAGERY.  RAINFALL RATES FROM THESE CELL MERGERS MAY BE REACHING
AS HIGH AS 1.0-1.5"/30 MINS.
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PLEASE SEE WEB ADDRESS BELOW IN 10 MINS FOR STLT GRAPHIC.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4130 8798 3909 8801 3976 9347 4089 9340
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