ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
NMZ000-AZZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/21/08 2224Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-11: 2216Z			DS
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LOCATION...NEW MEXICO...ARIZONA...
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ATTN WFOS...EPZ...TWC...FGZ...PSR...ABQ...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...CBRFC...
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EVENT...COLD TOP CELLS OVER SE AZ/SW NM BORDER
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...IR IMAGERY SHOWS NUMEROUS COLD TOP CELLS
OVER SERN AZ WITH SOME NEW COLD TOP CELLS NOW BEGINNING TO FORM OVER
PARTS OF HIDALGO/GRANT/CATRON COUNTIES JUST E OF THE NM/AZ BORDER. PER
2130-2200Z IMAGES..NUMEROUS CELLS HAVE OR ARE ABOUT TO MERGE OVER NWRN
COCHISE/SW GRAHAM/E PIMA COUNTIES THOUGH RECENT VIS/LIGHTNING DATA SHOWS
SOME CELLS MOSTLY REMAINING DISCRETE. BELIEVE STORMS OVER SE AZ/EXTREME
SW NM THOUGH WILL BECOME MORE MULTI-CELLULAR OVER THE COMING HRS AS STORMS
COLLAPSE AND REFORM ON OUTFLOWS THROUGH THE AFTRN HRS. OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS
SHOWS THETA-E AXIS RISES NWWD FROM SE AZ/SW NM ALONG THE MOGOLLON RIM
INTO CENTRAL NV. DEEP MOISTURE IS PRESENT OVER SE AZ THOUGH..WITH 12Z
SOUNDINGS INDICATING NR 2" PW'S AND CURRENT GOES SOUNDER SHOWING 1.5-NR
2" OVER SE AZ AND EXTREME SW NM. SFC FLOW IS VERY WEAK MAKING FOR SLOW
MOVEMENT OF STORMS.
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LARGE UPPER LVL ANTICYCLONE OVER THE SW WILL KEEP MID/UPPER LVL FLOW
AIMED FROM NE-WSW OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF SW NM/SE AZ. VIS SHOWS TWO
OTHER FEATURES TO BE NOTED..ONE THE FORMING CELLS NWD ALONG THE NM/AZ
BORDER INTO THE WHITE MTNS AREA AND THE OTHER THE CELLS THAT APPEAR TO
BE BUILDING SLOWLY NWWD TWDS CENTRAL AZ ALONG THE SWD FACING SLOPES OF
THE MOGOLLON RIM. BOTH AREAS WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED ALONG WITH SE AZ AS
CELLS MOVE SLOWLY WWD. 1 HR AUTOMATED STLT ESTIMATES SHOWED AMOUNTS OF
UP TO 1.2" OVER NW COCHISE COUNTY AND 1.1" OVER SE COCHISE..THOUGH THE
ESTIMATE IN THE SE CORNER LOOKS OVERDONE DUE TO COLD TOP CIRRUS BEING
PRESENT FOR SOME TIME. SEE WEB ADDRESS FOR GRAPHIC IN 5-10 MIN.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3392 10979 3137 10740 3040 11021 3271 11153
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