ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
MEZ000-MAZ000-NHZ000-VTZ000-NYZ000-PAZ000-
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/20/08 2102Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 2055Z   KUSSELSON
.
LOCATION...MAINE...MASSACHUSETTS...NEW HAMPSHIRE...VERMONT...
LOCATION...NEW YORK...PENNSYLVANIA...
.
ATTN WFOS...CAR...GYX...BOX...BTV...ALY...BGM...BUF...CTP...
ATTN RFCS...NERFC...MARFC...
.
EVENT...SHORT WAVE TROUGH FEEDING ON HIGH MOISTURE FOR HVY RAIN BURSTS
AND POTENTIAL FF...
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...UPPER LEVEL FEATURE ON WATER VAPOR
MOVING ACROSS SE ONTARIO PROVINCE IN CANADA WITH TROUGH EXTENDING SSW
INTO OHIO.  PW MOIST PLUME OR CONCENTRATION OF HIGHEST MOISTURE WAS FROM
SE OHIO/WESTERN WEST VIRGINIA TO E CENTRAL NY AND NOW EXPANDING NORTH
INTO CENTRAL NEW ENGLAND...MASSACHUSETTS...S VT...NH...S MAINE.
LINE OF CONVECTION MOVING PRETTY QUICKLY CENTRAL NY THRU C PA...BIGGEST
CONCERN ALONG MOIST PW BOUNDARY RUNNING W TO EAST E CENTRAL TO NE NY THRU
VT...NH INTO MAINE...WHERE TRAINING CELLS COULD CONTINUE WAVES OF HEAVY
RAIN TO HEIGHTEN FF THREAT THESE AREA THRU THIS EVENING.  MOST CONCERN FO
IMMEDIATE FUTURE IS WHERE IT HAS STEADILY RAINED TODAY AND ON SOUTHERN
EDGE OF CLOUD AREA...AGAIN E CENTRAL/NE NY THRU MOST OF NH...ESPECIALLY
N AND CENTRAL.  WITH SUCH HIGH PWS OF 2 TO 3 STANDARD DEVS ABOVE NORMAL
AND CONTINUED MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO AREA FROM SW ALONG PLUME MENTIONED
EARLIER IN THIS MESSAGE...CAN EXPECT VERY EFFICIENT RAIN PRODUCTION OF
CONVECTIVE CELLS BOTH IN THE CLOUDY AIR MASS AND JUST SOUTH FROM THE
STRONG AND VERY QUICK MOVING CONVECTIVE CELLS THAT WERE MOVING THRU E
CENTRAL TO S CENTRAL NY AND CENTRAL PA.
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR...
.
SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
.
SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
.
LAT...LON 4514 6947 4242 7219 4146 7664 4166 7698 4482 7393
.
NNNN