ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
AZZ000-UTZ000-NVZ000-CAZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/20/08 1228Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-11 1200Z KUSSELSON
NOAA AMSU:0953Z
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LOCATION...ARIZONA...S UTAH...S NEVADA...S CALIFORNIA...
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ATTN WFOS...TWC...FGZ...SLC...PSR...VEF...
ATTN RFCS...CBRFC...CNRFC...
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EVENT...CURRENT ACTIVITY CENTRAL ARIZONA AND SE CA...ANALYSIS FOR ACTIVITY
FOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...FOLLOWING SMALL BUT VERY POTENT COLD
TOP CONVECTIVE COMPLEX LIFTING NORTH AND CONTINUING TO COOL/DEVELOP ON
IN THE WEST PART OF THE COMPLEX.  NOT TOO MUCH MORE CONCERN WITH DEBRIS
CLOUDS/LIGHTER RAINS NE MARICOPA TO NEAR THE BORDERS OF GILA-YAVAPAI
COUNTY.  HIGHEST RAIN AMOUNTS PAST 2HRS MIGRATING WEST ALONG S YAVAPAI-
NORTH CENTRAL TO NW MARICOPA AREA WITH RAIN RATES ESTIMATED AT 1.0" PER
20-40 MINUTES AND AS HIGH AS 2.0" PER 40-75 MINUTES.  ENOUGH MOVEMENT
SHOULD KEEP HIGHER AMOUNTS FORM GETTING HIGHER...ESPECIALLY AT THIS
TIME IN THE NIGHT AND OUTSIDE ANY MOUNTAIN/HILLY TERRAIN.  EXPANSION AND
COOLING WEST INSURES FF/HVY RAINS FOR AT LEAST E LA PAZ.  THESE CONVECTIVE
COMPLEXES USUALLY FEED ON THEMSELVES AND IT WOULD BE REMARKABLE FOR IT
TO CONTINUE FOR A TIME NEXT 3-4 HRS THIS MORNING...BUT PROBABLY MORE
LIKELY WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN THIS MORNING WITH BOUNDARIES SETTING UP FOR
THIS AFTERNOON'S ACTION FOR SE CA...
S NV...W AND C AZ WHERE NOSE OF HIGHEST PW VALUES WILL REMAIN PERSISTENT.
OTHER AREA FOLLOWING IS WARMER TOP CELL LIFTING NORTH THRU SE CA...
IT IS MOVING ENOUGH THRU E RIVERSIDE COUNTY FOR LOWER RAIN RATES THAN
COMPLEX IN AZ...BUT THIS COULD ALSO SERVE AS FOCUS FOR AFTERNOON/EVENING
CONVECTION FURTHER WEST INTO INTERIOR S CA...S NV/
W AZ AS MOISTURE FROM FAUSTO CONTINUES TO GET PUMPED INTO THE SW...SHARP
PW GRADIENT FOR INSTABILITY SHIFTS SLIGHTLY WEST FROM YESTERDAY AND UPPER
TROUGH OFF CA COAST 40 TO 35N NEAR 128W CONTINUES TO SHARPEN...ALLOWING
FOR A LITTLE MORE ROOM FOR FAUSTO TO LIFT NW WEST OF BAJA.    WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3729 11189 3178 10920 2950 10999 3135 11440 3418 11554
3622 11496
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