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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/20/08 0157Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-11 0145Z       CW
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LOCATION...SW NEW MEXICO...S ARIZONA...
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ATTN WFOS...ABQ...EPZ...TWC...FGZ...PSR...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...CBRFC...
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EVENT...CLUSTER OF TSTMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VRY HVY RAINS SLOWLY
DRIFTING NWWD INTO EXT SW NM/SE AZ AND COULD EVOLVE INTO MCS LATER TONIGHT
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...HAVE BEEN TRACKING A CLUSTER OF TSTMS JUST
SOUTH OF HILDAGO COUNTY/NM IN NORTHERN MEXICO THAT HAVE BEEN BECOMING
INCREASINGLY MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 2 HRS.  A WNWWD MOVING S/WV
IS SEEN MOVING OUT OF SW TX AND ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO AND IS LIKELY
CONTRIBUTING TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF THESE TSTMS.  CLOUD SHIELD WITH CLOUD
TOP TEMPS AOB -73C IS APPROACHING 80 KM2 AND NORTHERN MOST EXTENT IS NOW
SEEN OVER SW HIDALGO COUNTY.  CLUSTER OF STORMS ARE SLOWLY MOVING NWWD
AND ARE LIKELY TO MAKE IT INTO PORTIONS OF SE AZ.  SE AREAS OF COCHISE
COUNTY COULD BEGIN TO SEE THE HVY RAINS WITHIN THE NEXT 30-60 MINS.
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OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS OF SFC MOISTURE CONVERGENCE SHOWS BEST AXIS LOCATED
SE-NW ACROSS SE AZ/SW NM.  NOSE OF SFC THETA-E RIDGE AXIS IS ALSO FOUND
COLLOCATED WITH AXIS OF BEST SFC MOISTURE CONVERGENCE.  IF THIS CLUSTER
OF TSTMS CONTINUES TO PUSH NWWD IT COULD HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO EVOLVE
INTO AN MORE WELL-DEFINED MCS AND PRODUCE VERY HVY RAINFALL ACROSS S AZ.
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LATEST 1-HR AUTOMATED STLT ESTIMATES SHOW 1.3" MAX WITH THESE STORMS JUST
S OF HIDALGO/NM AND COCHISE/AZ COUNTIES.  A WELL-DEFINED LLVL MOISTURE
PLUME IS SEEN EXTENDING NWD FROM W COAST OF MEXICO INTO S AZ/SE CA.
THIS MOISTURE PLUME HAS TROPICAL ORIGINS TO IT AS THE PLUME CAN BE TRACED
BACK TO HURRICANE FAUSTO IN THE E PAC.  WITH THIS IN MIND..RAINFALL
RATES FROM THIS CLUSTER OF STORMS COULD VERY WELL REACH 1.5-2.0"/HR.
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PLEASE SEE WEB ADDRESS BELOW FOR 1-HR STLT EST GRAPHIC.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3505 11039 3047 10666 2978 11020 3232 11487
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