ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL SPENES TXZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-COZ000-NMZ000- . SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/18/08 2126 SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678 LATEST DATA USED: GOES-11: 2100 GOES-12: 2115 DS . LOCATION...NW TEXAS PANHANDLE...OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE... LOCATION...SW KANSAS...SE COLORADO... LOCATION...NEW MEXICO... . ATTN WFOS...DDC...AMA...PUB...ABQ...EPZ... ATTN RFCS...ABRFC...WGRFC...CBRFC... . EVENT...COLD TOP STNRY CELLS OVER SW KS/OK PANHANDLE INTO NE NM . SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...UPPER LVL PATTERN PER WV/GOES STLT WINDS CONTINUES TO SHOW AN UPPER HIGH PREVALENT OVER THE SW WITH A S/WV CROSSING SE UT/WRN CO THAT APPEARS TO BE PARTLY RESPONSIBLE FOR THE OUTBREAK OF CELLS OCCURRING ALONG THE MTNS OVER SE CO INTO NRN NM..ALONG WITH DIURNAL HEATING. GPS VALUES INDICATE PW'S BETWEEN 1-1.4" OVER ERN NM/SE CO THAT INCREASE GREATLY TO 1.6-1.9" ENTERING THE NRN TX PANHANDLE TO SW KS. A MERGER APPEARS TO HAVE OCCURRED OVER SWRN KS OVER PARTS OF STEVENS/MORTON/TEXAS COUNTIES AROUND 2030Z. VIS AND IR IMAGERY CONTINUE TO INDICATE LITTLE MOVEMENT FROM THIS SMALL CLUSTER OF CELLS THAT HAS BEEN PRESENT SINCE ABOUT 1930Z..THOUGH SOME WEAKENING HAS OCCURRED AS OUTFLOWS MOVE OUT TO THE N AND S. AM BECOMING MORE CONCERNED THOUGH FOR POSSIBILITY OF A MERGER BETWEEN THIS CLUSTER AND THE STRENGTHENING CELLS MOVING EWD ACROSS SE CO/NE NM. SEVERAL ADDTL MERGERS APPEAR TO BE UNDERWAY OVER CENTRAL UNION COUNTY PER RECENT VIS/RADAR IMAGES AND VERY GOOD CHC GIVEN THE STRONG LOCALIZED AREA OF SFC MOISTURE CNVG PRESENT THAT THERE WILL BE MERGERS OVER BACA COUNTY/CO..CIMARRON COUNTY/OK..MORTON/STANTON COUNTIES/KS AND UNION COUNTY/NM. STLT ESIMATES GIVE RAINRATES OF UP TO 1.5"/HR POSSIBLE WITH HIGHER RATES MORE LIKELY WITH MERGERS AND FARTHER E INTO SW KS/OK PANHANDLE. . ANOTHER AREA OF CONCERN IS OVER SW NM WHERE CLUSTER OF CELLS MOVING W ACROSS DONA ANA/SIERRA COUNTIES ON THE OUTFLOW BNDRYS WILL BE COMING NEAR A SWD MOVING CLUSTER CURRENTLY OVER N GRANT/NE SIERRA COUNTIES. MERGER MAY BE POSSIBLE OVER SE GRANT/S SIERRA COUNTIES IN NEXT 60-90 MIN BUT NOT AS MUCH MOISTURE IS PRESENT THERE FOR HVY RAIN THREAT. . SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST. ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET.... . SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES: HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/ ...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/ . LAT...LON 3793 9955 3534 10417 3229 10533 3309 10869 3665 10619 . NNNN