ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
TXZ000-OKZ000-COZ000-NMZ000-
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/18/08 1308Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12/11 1245Z  KUSSELSON
.
LOCATION...W TEXAS...COLORADO...NEW MEXICO...
.
ATTN WFOS...AMA...PUB...ABQ...
ATTN RFCS...ABRFC...WGRFC...
.
EVENT...CONVECTIVE CLOUD TOPS WARMING/DECREASING RAINFALL...ANALYSIS
FEATURES FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING'S CONVECTION...
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...CURRENT CONVECTION CLOUD TOPS ALONG NM
(CURRY COUNTY)/TX (DEAF SMITH/PARMER COUNTY) SHOWING SIGNIFICANT WARMING
AS CELLS CONTINUE TO DROP SOUTH.  THERE IS A USUALLY A LITTLE BIT OF A
LAG IN FALL OFF OF RAIN RATES...BUT ONE THING IS CERTAIN WHEN YOU SEE A
CLOUD TOP WARMING OF -60 TO -55C IN 30 MINUTES IS THAT THERE WILL BE A
SIGNIFICANT DECREASE IN RAIN IN THE NEXT FEW HRS.  BOUNDARY LEFT BY THIS
CONVECTION MAY BE A FOCUS FOR CONVECTION FOR LATER TODAY...AS PW MOISTURE
IN AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE BETWEEN 125 AND 150 PERCENT OF NORMAL.
CURRENT FEATURES THAT WILL PLAY A PART IN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING'S
CONVECTION IN COLORADO...NM...W TX AREA WILL BE VORT ON WATER NOW MOVING
ACROSS SW UT.  UPPER LEVEL HIGH CENTERED OVER NM AND PROVIDING UPPER
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ALONG RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING NE INTO SE CO...TX
AND OK PANHANDLES INTO CENTRAL TO NE NM.  WEAK JET FROM W AZ NEWD THRU
C CO.  MODERATE PW MOISTURE IN PLACE WITH MAX VALUES/PLUME EXTENDING FROM
2.0" VALUES IN KS TO NE NM...SE CO...TX AND OK PANHANDLE WHERE VALUES
WILL RANGE FROM 1.25" TO 1.6".  CERTAINLY ENOUGH FORCING MECHANISMS
AND PLENTY OF MOISTURE FOR CONVECTION TO ORGANIZE INTO FF PRODUCING HVY
RAIN CELLS AND WILL KEEP AN EYE ON THIS FOR LATER TODAY AND THIS EVENING.
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR...SEE SATELLITE GRAPHICAL ANALYSIS IN 10 MINUTES
ON HOME PAGE AT ADDRESS BELOW...
.
SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
.
SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
.
LAT...LON 3860 10609 3713 10293 3425 10307 3425 10316 3515 10631
.
NNNN