ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
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MIZ000-WIZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/16/08 1944Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1932Z        CW
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LOCATION...W MICHIGAN...E WISCONSIN...
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ATTN WFOS...DTX...APX...GRR...GRB...MKX...ARX...
ATTN RFCS...NCRFC...
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EVENT...HVY RAINS FROM EWD MOVING MCS
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL APPEARS TO BE
SINKING SWD INVOF WAUSHARA/WINNEBAGO/CALUMET/MARQUETTE/GREEN LAKE COUNTIES
IN E-CENTRAL WI WITHIN MCS.  LATEST VIS IMAGERY IS SHOWING ADDITIONAL
CELLS ACROSS SW WI ARE MOVING NEWD AND ARE LIKELY MERGING INTO THE SW
EDGES OF THE MCS.  THIS WILL ONLY MAKE THE HVY RAIN SITUATION WORSE
ACROSS THESE COUNTIES MENTIONED ABOVE..LIKELY RESULTING IN ADDITIONAL
1-2" OF RAINFALL THE NEXT HR OR SO AS HVY RAINS LIKELY HANGUP ALONG THE
SW EDGE OF MCS.
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EXCELLENT LLVL MOISTURE TRANSPORT IS SEEN IN GOES SOUNDER PW FROM GOMEX
ACROSS TX/OK/KS/NE/IA AND INTO WI AND MI.  THIS MOISTURE TRANSPORT WAS
DECOUPLED FOR A BRIEF WHILE THIS MORNING ACROSS KS/NE..BUT HAS SINCE
FILLED IN AGAIN AS OF 17Z..WHICH WILL ALLOW INCREASED LLVL MOISTURE TO
REACH AS FAR NWD AS WI/MI.
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THE MCS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SEWD..ALONG SFC FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND
PARALLEL TO SW MID-LVL FLOW..OVER LAKE MICHIGAN AND MOVE INTO PORTIONS OF
W-CENTRAL/SW MI IN THE NEXT FEW HRS.  POOL OF HIGHER SFC THETA-E VALUES
ARE FOUND IN 19Z ANALYSIS ACROSS SE WI AND MAY LIKELY PROGRESSES EWD
WITH THE MCS.  VERY HVY RAINS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS W-CENTRAL/SW MI FROM
THIS AFTERNOON MCS.
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PLEASE SEE WEB ADDRESS BELOW IN ABOUT 10 MINS FOR STLT GRAPHIC.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4495 8874 4458 8398 4288 8469 4375 9065
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