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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/16/08 1526Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 1515Z		DS
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LOCATION...S/CENTRAL FLORIDA...
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ATTN WFOS...MFL...MLB...TBW...
ATTN RFCS...SERFC...
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EVENT...MID/UPPER LOW MOVING INTO INLAND FL NEAR SRQ
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...COMBINATION OF IR/WV STLT IMAGERY SHOWS
A MID TO UPPER LOW CURRENTLY POSITIONED OVER FL WRN COASTLINE INVOF
SRQ. SFC ANALYSIS REVEALS A SFC LOW IS PRESENT JUST E OF SRQ AND IS
LIKELY OVER HARDEE/DESOTO AND PART OF HIGHLANDS COUNTY PER VIS/RADAR
IMAGERY THAT SOMEWHAT DEPICTS THE CIRCULATION. 12Z PW ANALYSIS PER RAOBS
SHOWED A LARGE AREA ENCOMPASSING MOST OF S FL THAT HAD 2.2" PW VALUES
OVER IT..STRETCHING FROM TBW AND JUST NE OF TBW SEWD TO MFL. ALSO 12Z HPC
SFC ANALYSIS PROGGED A STNRY FRNTL BNDRY OVER N FL CONTAINING THE DEEPER
MOISTURE TO ITS S. WITH STRONGER DIURNAL HEATING LIKELY TO OCCUR ALONG
THIS BNDRY WHERE CURRENTLY NO LINGERING CIRRUS IS RESTRICTING IT..STORMS
WILL LIKELY FORM IN 1-2 HRS TIME THAT COULD INFLUENCE THE CELLS ASCD
WITH UPPER LOW LATER IN THE DAY. THOUGH NOT AS MUCH DAYTIME HEATING IS
OCCURRING OVER S FL DUE TO CIRRUS..IT WILL CERTAINLY BE ENOUGH TO ALLOW
FOR WIDESPREAD CNVTN THAT WILL GRADUALLY MOVE EWD ACROSS FL WITH MID/UPPER
LOW. IN SUCH A DEEP MOISTURE ENVIRONMENT RAINFALL RATES OF 2"/HR SHOULD
BE ABLE TO EASILY BE REACHED IN THE STRONGER STORMS AND SLOW MOVEMENT
OF CELLS/CIRCULATION WILL ALLOW RAINFALL TO ACCUMULATE FAIRLY QUICKLY.
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DURING THE 3 HRS ENDING 1500Z..STLT ESTIMATES SHOWED A MAX OF 2.3"
OVER COASTAL SARASOTA COUNTY AND A MAX OF 2.0" OVER WRN COLLIER COUNTY
FROM BACKBUILDING CELLS. NOT FAR OFFSHORE A MAX OF NEAR 3" IS SEEN FROM
EARLIER CNVTN. SEE WEB ADDRESS IN 5-10 MIN FOR GRAPHIC.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 2872 8108 2598 8046 2539 8203 2845 8361
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