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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/15/08 1830Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-11 1800Z      CW
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LOCATION...CENTRAL ARIZONA...
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ATTN WFOS...FGZ...
ATTN RFCS...CBRFC...
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EVENT...QUASI STATIONARY CONVECTION DEVELOPING CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
LOCALLY VERY HVY RAINS
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...LATEST VIS IMAGERY SHOWS DEVELOPING CU/TCU
ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AZ OVER THE LAST HR.  ONE CELL IN PARTICULAR
HAS NEARLY REACHED THE EL OF -44C (FROM 12Z FGZ RAOB) WITH CLOUD TOP TEMP
AT -42C.  THIS CELL..LOCATED OVER S-CENTRAL COCONINO COUNTY..HAS REMAINED
STATIONARY FOR AT LEAST THE PAST 1 HR.  MANUAL STLT ESTIMATE TECHNIQUE
SUGGESTS THIS STORM MAY BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING BETWEEN 0.2-0.4"/30 MINS.
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CURRENT THINKING IS THAT ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ALONG A
LINE ORIENTED SE-NW FROM VIC OF SOW/AZ TO LSV/NV BASED ON POSITION OF
SFC THETA-E RIDGE AXIS AT 18Z STRETCHED ACROSS THIS LINE.  SOME CU/TCU
ARE ALREADY BEGINNING TO BUILD IN THE LAST 30 MINS OF VIS.  MOISTURE IS
EXPECTED TO INCREASE FROM THE S AS A BROAD UPPER-LVL CIRCULATION SPINNING
W OF THE BAJA PENINSULA DRAWS THIS MOISTURE NWD INTO AZ/S CA/S NV TODAY.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3606 11147 3522 11090 3496 11215 3569 11241
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