ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
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NMZ000-AZZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/14/08 1824Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-11 1800Z        CW
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LOCATION...NEW MEXICO...ARIZONA...
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ATTN WFOS...ABQ...EPZ...TWC...FGZ...PSR...VEF...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...CBRFC...
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EVENT...MOD/HVY RAINS EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD THIS AFTERNOON
WITH MULTIPLE VORT CENTERS ALOFT
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...TWO VORTICITY CENTERS ARE BEST SEEN IN
VIS ANIMATION..WITH ONE SPINNING ACROSS SE CATRON COUNTY/NM AND MOVING
NNEWD..WHILE A SECOND IS FURTHER TO THE N AND W OVER YAVAPAI COUNTY/AZ AND
DRIFTING SLOWLY SWD.  WITH DAYTIME HEATING INCREASING THE INSTABILITY OF
THE ATMOSPHERE ACROSS AZ AND NW THIS AFTERNOON AND THE DYNAMICS PROVIDED
BY THESE TWO VORT CENTERS..CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE
OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HRS AND LIKELY WILL PRODUCE LOCALLY MOD/HVY RAINS.
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CURRENTLY THINKING FOR GREATEST LIKELIHOOD OF WHERE THE HVY RAINS WILL
SETUP IS ALONG A SE-NW ORIENTED LINE FROM NW SIERRA/CATRON COUNTIES IN
NM..S APACHE/S NAVAJO/S COCONINO/S YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN AZ.  BEST SFC
MOISTURE CONVERGENCE CURRENTLY IS ANALYZED TO BE POSITIONED ALONG THIS
DISCUSSION AREA.  WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE REGION TO PROVIDE FURTHER
UPDATES/STLT PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES WHEN THEY COME IN.
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PLEASE SEE WEB ADDRESS IN 10 MINS FOR STLT GRAPHIC.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3589 11349 3562 10614 3308 10624 3339 11367
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