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AZZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/13/08 2320Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-11 2311Z   LIDDICK
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LOCATION...SOUTHERN ARIZONA...
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ATTN WFOS...TWC...PSR...
ATTN RFCS...CBRFC...
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EVENT...MERGER OVER ERN MARICOPA COUNTY WITH POTENTIAL FOR MORE THROUGH
THE EVENING
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...VIS/IR IMAGERY SHOWING MERGER OCCURRING
OVER ERN MARICOPA COUNTY IN CNTRL AZ WITH CLOUD TOPS COOLING TO -73C.
GIVEN HIGH PW VALUES AROUND 1.8" PER GOES SOUNDER/GPS AND THE 22Z RUC
MODEL SOUNDING SHOWING EL OF -68C..ESTIMATING THAT SOME AREAS IN ERN
MARICOPA COUNTY UNDER THE MERGER COULD HAVE SEEN A VERY QUICK 1.25"
BETWEEN 2241Z AND 2311Z WITH STORM TOTALS OF 1.75"-2.0" GIVEN VERY SLOW
MOTION OF STORM CELLS.

FOR THE REST OF THE EVENING...GIVEN CONTINUED INSTABILITY PER GOES SOUNDER
AND VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWING PLENTY OF SLOW MOVING CONVECTION OVER SRN/S
CNTRL AZ AND NRN MEXICO...EXPECTING SOME AREAS TO SEE MERGERS AND NEARLY
STATIONARY CONVECTION THAT PRODUCES 1.0"-2.0" OR RAIN IN AN HOURS TIME.

CHECK WEB IN APPROX 10 MIN FOR MESSAGE GRAPHIC.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3385 11244 3345 11144 3152 11238 3244 11416
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