ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
AZZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/13/08 1723Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: G11 1700Z  CK
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LOCATION...ARIZONA...
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ATTN WFOS...TWC...FGZ...PSR...
ATTN RFCS...CBRFC...
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EVENT...INCRG CNVTN PARTS OF S CENTRAL TO SE AZ
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...IR AND VIS IMAGERY ANIMATION SHOW SMALL
SCALE VORT CENTER INVOF NW BORDER OF SANTA CRUZ/PIMA COUNTIES..MOVG
NW. WARM TOP SHOWERS AND TSTMS HAVE RAPIDLY DEVELOPED IN GENERAL VCNTY
OF VORT AS WELL AS TO THE N/NE/E...AFFECTING THE COUNTIES OF PIMA/SANTA
CRUZ/PINAL/COCHISE. GOES SOUNDER DERIVED PRODUCT IMAGERY SHOWS INCRG
INSTABILITY FOCUSED OVER S CENTRAL TO CENTRAL AND N AZ..AROUND -7C..WHICH
HAS BEEN INCRG. GOES SOUNDER PW'S RANGE UP TO NR 2".. AND GOES WV IMAGERY
SHOW WV PLUME COINCIDENT WITH PW PLUME.
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INFLUENCE OF VORT AND INCRG INSTABILITY WILL RESULT IN FURTHER CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT OVER SE QUARTER OF AZ. COPIOUS MOISTURE..SLOW MOVEMENT OF
STMS..AND EVENTUAL MERGERS..WILL RESULT IN HVY DOWNPOURS IN SHORT PERIODS
OF TIME. STLT ESTIMATING TECHNIQUE SUGGESTS THAT THESE STMS WILL HAVE
THE POTENTIAL OF PRODUCING 1" OR MORE IN A HALF HR. SOME LOCATIONS CAN
PICK UP TOTALS OF 2"PLUS.
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ANNOTATED GRAPHIC WILL BE AVAILABLE ON WEB IN 5-10 MIN. ADDRESS BELOW.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3391 11187 3371 10969 3103 11017 3155 11218
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