ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
MOZ000-ARZ000-OKZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/13/08 0345Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0330Z KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...EXT S MISSOURI...N ARKANSAS...NE OKLAHOMA...
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ATTN WFOS...MEG...LZK...SGF...TSA...OUN...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...2 SEPARATE CONVECTIVE COMPLEXES FROM HVY RAIN OK THRU
N ARKANSAS...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...TWO CONVECTIVE COMPLEXES STAYING SEPARATE
FROM NE QUARTER OF OK THRU N AR...COLDEST TOPS STAYING SOUTH OF SE KS
AND S MO...SO NOT MUCH CONCERN THERE.  MOST CONCERN WITH COLDER TOPS
ACROSS OKLAHOMA NE COUNTIES...NW AND N CENTRAL AR COUNTIES AND WHERE
WESTERNMOST COMPLEX COULD AFFECT AREAS THAT ARE CURRENTLY GETTING HVY
RAIN FROM EASTERN COMPLEX.  WESTERN COMPLEX SHOWING SOME BACKBUILDING ON
SATELLITE AND WITH A SLIGHT SE DRIFT...STILL COULD BE SOME TRAINING HEAVY
RAIN BURSTS CENTERED PAYNE TO ADAIR COUNTY NEXT FEW HRS WHERE 0.5"-1.0"
COULD FALL IN A 20-45 MINUTE TIME PERIOD.  OBVIOUSLY THE FURTHER EAST TO
THE OK-AR BORDER THE MORE CHANCE FOR MULTIPLE TRAINING BURSTS OF THESE
TYPES OF RAIN RATES AND INCREASED FF THREAT.   THIS TRAINING COULD CARRY
ON INTO AR IN A NARROW AREA ALONG EASTERN MOST COMPLEX'S OUTFLOW THAT WAS
CURRENTLY SETTING UP FROM SEARCY TO WASHINGTON COUNTY IN ARKANSAS FOR THE
NEXT FEW HRS.  ALL THIS ALONG DEEP PW MOISTURE POOLED ALONG OUTFLOWS FROM
BOTH CONVECTIVE COMPLEXES WHERE GREATER THAN 2.0" PW VALUES WOULD SUPPORT
THE TORRENTIAL RAIN AMOUNTS IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME.  WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR...SEE SATELLITE ANALYSIS GRAPHIC ON HOME PAGE AT ADDRESS BELOW...
PLEASE NOTE 3HR HYDROESTIMATOR SATELLITE RAINFALL ESTIMATES HAVE A MAX
OF 3.0"-3.5" IN PAYNE COUNTY THRU 0315Z...AND 4"PLUS VALUES FOR THE PAST
6HR NEAR THE BORDERS OF ROGERS....MAYES...CRAIG COUNTY...SEE HOME PAGE
FOR THESE ESTIMATES AS WELL.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3691 9699 3638 9039 3558 9016 3583 9676 3678 9641
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