ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
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NMZ000-AZZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/11/08 2208Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-11 2200Z   KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...NEW MEXICO...ARIZONA...
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ATTN WFOS...ABQ...EPZ...TWC...FGZ...PSR...VEF...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...CBRFC...
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EVENT...UPPER LEVEL FORCING JUST TO NORTH OF CLOUD BOUNDARIES...
BUT STILL HANGING AROUND SE AZ AND KICKING OFF CONVECTION IN NM...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...CASE TODAY IS THAT BEST FORCING ASSOCIATED
WITH WEAK LOW ALONG CA-AZ BORDER AREA AND UPPER TROUGH ACROSS CENTRAL
AZ IS WHERE CLOUDS HAVE KEEP TEMP LOWER AND ATMOSPHERE MORE STABLE.
BUT EXTENSION OF UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROUGH PUSHING INTO W NM AND SE
AZ WHERE THERE HAS BEEN A BIT MORE SUNSHINE...SO STILL HAVE SOME CONCERNS
FOR ENOUGH CELLS TO ORGANIZE TO BRING LOCAL HVY RAINS TO SE INTO EXTREME
E CENTRAL AZ THRU SW TO W CENTRAL NM.  PW MOISTURE MAXS HAVE ALSO SPLIT
WITH ONE MAX MIGRATING TO THE SW AZ/CA BORDER AND OTHER GETTING FORCED
SOUTH AND EAST FROM EXT SE AZ INTO
W AND CENTRAL NM AND IT APPEARS THE SLIGHTLY DRIER/LOWER FULL ATMOSPHERIC
MOISTURE VALUES PENETRATING INTO S CENTRAL AND C AZ ALONG WITH NVA
BEHIND UPPER TROUGH HAVE THE AFFECT OF SUPPRESSING CONVECTION THERE.
WILL STILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR CAREFULLY SE AZ INTO CENTRAL AND W NM
FOR QUICK SHOT CONVECTION THAT CAN RESULT IN ISOLATED SHORT TERM FF.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3564 10710 3344 10538 3052 10965 3309 11389 3551 11348
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