ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL SPENES TXZ000-NMZ000- . SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/10/08 1205Z SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678 LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1145Z HANNA . LOCATION...TEXAS...NEW MEXICO... . ATTN WFOS...EPZ... ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...CBRFC... . EVENT...HEAVY RAIN MOVING THROUGH MOST OF LUNA COUNTY AND INTO W DONA ANA . SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...VERY HEAVY CONVECTION WITH WHAT APPEARS TO BE A MCV CONTINUES TO STREAM OUT OF NORTHERN MEXICO AND INTO PORTIONS OF LUNA COUNTY AND W DONA ANA. ALTHOUGH MOST RECENT IR IMAGERY (1145Z) DOES SHOW SOME SLIGHT CLOUD TOP WARMING, HAVE SEEN A VERY IMPRESSIVE CONVECTIVE COMPLEX WITH ASSOCIATED OVERSHOOTING TOPS LIFTING STEADILY NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST PORTILLO MOUNTAIN RANGE OVER THE LAST 1-2 HOURS. SEASONABLY DEEP MOISTURE IN PLACE (1.20-1.40" PWS) ALONG WITH PRECIP EFFICIENT SOUNDINGS (LITTLE CLOUD SHEAR AND DEEP ABOVE 0C LAYER) WOULD TEND TO SUGGEST RAINFALL RATES OF AT LEAST 1.0-2.0"/HR ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MOST INTENSE CONVECTIVE CORES. BELIEVE THESE TYPES OF RATES ARE LIKELY OCCURRING WITH THE CELL ABOUT 10 MILES W OF LRU AND ALSO WITH THE CELL ABOUT 20 MILES SSW OF LRU. AUTOMATED SATELLITE ESTIMATES SUGGEST THAT 2-3" OF RAIN HAS FELL OVER AREAS OF N MEXICO WHICH WERE EARLIER AFFECTED BY THE COMPLEX. HAVE NOTICED A SLIGHT HIGH BIAS TO AUTOMATED RAINFALL TOTALS OVERNIGHT IN THE LOCAL AREA BUT STILL BELIEVE THAT AT LEAST 2.0" IS POSSIBLE IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS OVER THE W HALF OF DONA ANA COUNTY OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR. . SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST. ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET.... . SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES: HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/ ...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/ . LAT...LON 3294 10741 3279 10685 3226 10657 3165 10667 3067 10720 3126 10812 3216 10827 3269 10810 . NNNN