ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
TXZ000-NMZ000-
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/10/08 0800Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0745Z  HANNA
.
LOCATION...TEXAS...NEW MEXICO...
.
ATTN WFOS...LUB...MAF...ABQ...EPZ...
ATTN RFCS...ABRFC...WGRFC...
.
EVENT...HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUING FROM EDDY TO ROOSEVELT
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW
THAT HEAVY RAINFALL IS AFFECTING PORTIONS OF SE NM FROM ROUGHLY CNM NNE
TO CVS.  RAINFALL APPEARS AS THOUGH IT IS FOCUSING JUST EAST OF AN 85H
INVERTED TROF AXIS PER RECENT VWP DATA.  UPSTREAM 85H THETA-E RIDGE AXIS
IS IN AN IDEAL POSITION TO ALLOW FOR CONTINUED CONVECTIVE REDEVELOPMENT
IN THE CULBERSON/EDDY COUNTY AREA WITH SUBSEQUENT DOWNSTREAM TRAINING
OVER EDDY/SE CHAVES/NW LEA/ROOSEVELT COUNTIES.  GOES DIGITAL POINT
SOUNDINGS SUGGEST PRECIPITABLE WATERS IN THE LOCAL REGION ARE RANGING
FROM 1.40-1.60" AND THIS IS ROUGHLY 150% ABOVE THE CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMAL
VALUES.  THE CONTINUATION OF TRAINING CONVECTION AND VERY PRECIPITATION
EFFICIENT PROFILES (DEEP ABOVE 0C LAYER AND LITTLE CLOUD LAYER SHEAR)
WOULD SUGGEST THAT RAINFALL RATES MAY RUN AS HIGH AS 1.0-2.0"/HR IN THE
MOST INTENSE CONVECTIVE CORES.  HAVE SEEN SIMILAR RAINFALL RATES ABOUT
20 MILES WNW OF CNM BUT CLOUD TOPS HAVE APPEARED TO WARM OVER THE PAST 30
MINUTES SO BELIEVE RAINFALL RATES LIKELY MAXING OUT IN THE 0.50-1.00"/HR
RANGE ALONG THE CNM TO CVS AXIS.    LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS LIKELY TO
CONTINUE ALONG THIS AXIS FOR THE NEXT 3-6 HOURS WITH LOCALIZED TOTALS
OF 1.0-2.0".  WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
.
SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
.
SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
.
LAT...LON 3469 10340 3465 10268 3413 10256 3334 10305 3189 10392
3158 10446 3163 10502 3207 10527 3287 10475 3394 10427
3429 10409
.
NNNN