ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
PRZ000-
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/09/08 1844Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 1815Z		DS
DMSP SSMI: 1104Z  QUIKSCAT 1015Z
.
LOCATION...PUERTO RICO...
.
ATTN WFOS...SJU...
ATTN RFCS...
.
EVENT...HVY RAINS OCCURRING OVER WRN PR
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...RICH TROPICAL MOISTURE IS SEEN IN
MICROWAVE IMAGERY MOVING ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN STRETCHING FROM JUST SE
OF JAMAICA ENEWD TO SE PR AND THE ISLANDS ESE OF PR. FROM THERE A THIN
STREAM OF SLIGHTLY LOWER MOISTURE EXTENDS NEWD INTO HURRICANE BERTHA. MOST
RECENT SSMI PASS SHOWED THE PW'S ON THE S SIDE OF PR TO BE IN THE RANGE
OF 2.2-2.3" WHILE ALONG THE NRN SIDE OF THE ISLAND THEY ARE CLOSER AT
OR JUST BELOW 2"..AND LESS THAN 100 KM TO THE N OF THE ISLAND THESE
VALUES DROP OFF TO 1.5". 12Z RAOB FROM JSJ IS IN AGREEMENT WITH NEAR 2"
VALUES ON THE N SIDE OF THE ISLAND AS WELL.
.
IR SHOWED CLOUD TOPS TO -67C OVER MARICAO/LAS MARIAS MUNICIPALITIES AT
1745Z BUT THESE HAVE SINCE MOVED OFF TO THE E WITH RADAR SHOWING THE SAME
TREND. 1815Z IMAGE SHOWS MUCH OF THE COMPLEX HAS BEEN PUSHED OVER THE
WATER OFF WRN PR. QUIKSCAT WINDS FROM EARLIER TDY SHOWED ABOUT 15-20KTS
OF SFC FLOW FROM THE NE THAT IS STILL REFLECTED IN SFC OBS THAT SHOULD
KEEP CELLS MOVING QUICKLY. VIS DOES SHOW SOME CELLS TRYING TO FORM IN THE
WAKE OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS CROSSING VIEQUES THAT COULD TRAIN IN THE NE-SW
FLOW OVER THE ISLAND AND EXTREME SE PR..IF THEY ARE ABLE TO FORM..THOUGH
CURRENTLY LOOKS DOUBTFUL. ALSO MAY BE SOME REDVLPMT OVER PR BUT FAST
SFC FLOW IS DOMINATING AND SHOULD PUSH ANYTHING THAT FORMS OFF TO THE W
AND SW. 3HR AUTOMATED STLT ESTIMATES ENDING 1815Z SHOWED 1.6" MAX OVER
MARICAO/LAS MARIAS. SEE WEB ADDRESS FOR ESTIMATE GRAPHIC IN ABOUT 5 MIN.
.
SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
.
SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
.
LAT...LON 1876 6736 1861 6614 1765 6624 1771 6738
.
NNNN