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NCZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/08/08 2316Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 2310Z		DS
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LOCATION...E NORTH CAROLINA...
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ATTN WFOS...MHX...
ATTN RFCS...SERFC...
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EVENT...STNRY CELL OVER CRAVEN COUNTY
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...STNRY CELL IS SEEN IN IR/VIS IMAGERY OVER
CRAVEN COUNTY IN ERN NC AND HAS BEEN IN RELATIVELY THE SAME LOCATION SINCE
1915Z. IT STARTED OUT AS A WARM TOP CELL NEAR THE CRAVEN/PAMLICO COUNTY
BORDER AND ENHANCED WITH A MERGER AS THE LINE OF CELLS CROSSING ERN NC/SE
VA MOVED OVER THE AREA. AUTOMATED STLT ESTIMATES HAVE DONE VERY POORLY
WITH ESTIMATED RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM THIS CELL AS IT HAS BEEN WARM TOP
FOR MUCH OF ITS LIFETIME..ONLY HAVING CLOUD TOPS BELOW -60C DURING THE
PAST 2 HRS AND OVER A VERY SMALL AREA. AUTOMATED ESTIMATES SHOW 1.6" FOR
3 HRS ENDING 2245Z OVER CRAVEN/PAMLICO COUNTIES. MANUEL STLT ESTIMATES
ON THE OTHER HAND WHICH TAKEN INTO ACCOUNT THE MERGER..ALMOST CONSTANT
OVERSHOOTING TOP DURING THE PAST 3 HRS..AND NEARLY STNRY MOVEMENT OF THE
CELL GIVE AMOUNTS OF 5-6" FROM 1915Z TO PRESENT. SFC MOISTURE CNVG AREA
IS PRESENT OVER CENTRAL NC/CENTRAL VA AND OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS ALSO SHOWS
THE CELLS HAVE BEEN ON THE ERN EDGE OF THE THETA-E AXIS THAT EXTENDS UP
THROUGH SRN/CENTRAL NC TO NRN VA AND IS LIKELY THE CAUSE THE THIS CELL
BEING ANCHORED OVER CRAVEN COUNTY..AND EVEN BACKBUILDING A LITTLE BIT.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3572 7623 3482 7610 3481 7729 3557 7753
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