ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
VAZ000-NCZ000-WVZ000-TNZ000-KYZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME  07/08/08 1843Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 1815Z		DS
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LOCATION...SW VIRGINIA...W NORTH CAROLINA...S WEST VIRGINIA...
LOCATION...NE TENNESSEE...E KENTUCKY...S OHIO...
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ATTN WFOS...RNK...RLX...GSP...MRX...JKL...ILN...
ATTN RFCS...SERFC...OHRFC...LMRFC...
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EVENT...SLOW MOVING CELLS OVER E KY TO MOVE INTO SRN WV
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...IR STLT IMAGERY SHOWS MIXED WARM AND
COLD TOP CELLS IN A ZONE OF SFC CNVG OVER ERN KY/S CENTRAL OH/ERN TN
AS WELL AS OVER THE SMOKY MTNS IN WRN NC. THESE CELLS HAVE FORMED ON
THE WRN SIDE OF THE UPPER LOW SEEN IN WV IMAGERY SLOWLY MIGRATING EWD
ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES AND ARE IN A ZONE OF UPPER LVL DVG PER
GOES STLT WINDS WITH STRONGEST UVM SEEMINGLY OVER SRN OH/ERN KY. THERE
MAY ALSO BE SOME INFLUENCE THOUGH FROM THE MCS THAT COLLAPSED OVER SW
IL AROUND 12Z THIS MORNING WITH OUTFLOW SEEN PUSHING ACROSS KY TO ABOUT
WHERE CNVTN WAS SPARKED IN THE ERN PART OF THE STATE. MID LVL STLT WINDS
SHOW WEAK WRLY FLOW OVER E KY/NE TN THAT SHOULD ALLOW FOR SLOW MOVEMENT
OF CELLS EWD INO S WV/SW VA/W NC DURING THE NEXT FEW HRS.
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WITH THE SLOW MOVEMENT INTO MORE HILLY TERRAIN..FF CHANCES WILL
INCREASE. ALSO MERGERS WILL BE LIKELY TO OCCUR AS VIS IMAGERY SHOWS ADDTL
CELLS FORMING IN EXTREME NE TN JUST S OF THE VA BORDER AND SOME MERGERS
HAVE JUST RECENTLY OCCURRED IN ERN KY JUST N/NE OF JKL. PW VALUES RANGE
FROM 1.5-1.8" FROM NC/TN TO CENTRAL OH SO EXPECT RAIN RATES OF 1-1.5"/HR
TO BE COMMON WITH UP THE 2"/HR RATES DURING MERGERS. BELIEVE LARGEST
THREAT LIES IN ERN KY FOR NEXT 1-2 HRS AND THEN SW VA/SRN WV DURING THE
NEXT SEVERAL HRS. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3837 8310 3818 8053 3544 8229 3578 8436
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