ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
WIZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-MNZ000-IAZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/07/08 1918Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1845Z        CW
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LOCATION...SW WISCONSIN...MISSOURI...S MINNESOTA...IOWA
LOCATION...KANSAS...NEBRASKA...
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ATTN WFOS...MKX...DVN...ARX...MPX...DMX...EAX...FSD...OAX...TOP...
ATTN WFOS...ICT...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...
ATTN RFCS...NCRFC...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...CONDITIONS BECOMING INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE FOR HVY RAIN EVENT
LATER THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...A NUMBER OF FACTORS SEEMINGLY ARE
COMING TOGETHER THIS AFTERNOON SETTING UP WHAT MIGHT BE A HVY RAIN EVENT
ACROSS KS/NE/IA/SW WI LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND DURING THE OVERNIGHT HRS.
PRESENTLY A STATIONARY SFC BOUNDARY LIES WSW-ENE ACROSS S-CENTRAL NE INTO
CENTRAL IA.  FOR THE PAST FEW HRS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED TSTMS HAVE BEEN
MOVING ENE ALONG THIS BOUNDARY PRODUCING LGT/MOD RAINS.  DURING THE NEXT
SEVERAL HRS A VIGOROUS S/WV WILL APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE NW AND
PROVIDE ENHANCED VERTICAL LIFT.  CURRENTLY WV IMAGERY PLACES THIS S/WV
ACROSS ND/SD WITH A STLT ESTIMATED 80 KT JET STREAK BEHIND IT ACROSS
CENTRAL MT.
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FURTHERMORE...THERE IS PLENTY OF LLVL MOISTURE POOLED ACROSS KS/NE/IA/S MI
AS LLVL FLOW HAS CONTINUALLY BEEN PUMPING GULF MOISTURE INTO THE REGION.
LATEST 18Z PROFILER/VWP DATA INDICATES 25-30 KT 850-925 MB WINDS OUT
OF THE SSW FROM TX NWD INTO OK/KS/NE/IA.  SOME OF THIS RICH MOISTURE
IS LIKELY TO HAVE SOME TROPICAL ORIGINS TO IT AS MUCH OF W GOMEX AND
DEEP SRN TX HAVE BEEN UNDER A PW PLUME WITH VALUES BETWEEN 2.2-2.4".
NOW THESE HIGH VALUES ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEEN AS FAR NORTH AS THE
DISCUSSION AREA..HOWEVER 1.6-1.8" ARE.
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TRAINING OF CELLS ALONG THE SFC BOUNDARY WILL ALSO BE A LIKELY THREAT AS
MID-LVL FLOW IS FOUND TO BE PARALLEL TO IT (WSW-ENE FLOW) FROM STLT WINDS.
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR AND PROVIDE ADDITIONAL UPDATES AS NECESSARY.
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PLEASE SEE WEB ADDRESS FOR STLT GRAPHIC IN ABOUT 15 MINS.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4409 9196 4226 8955 3741 10027 4060 10157
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