ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
WIZ000-ILZ000-MNZ000-IAZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/06/08 0003Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 2345Z        CW
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LOCATION...SW WISCONSIN...NW ILLINOIS...S MINNESOTA...IOWA...
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ATTN WFOS...DVN...ARX...MPX...DMX...FSD...OAX...
ATTN RFCS...NCRFC...MBRFC...
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EVENT...SLOW-MOVING MCS CONTINUES TO MOVE EWD ACROSS IA
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...HEAVIEST RAINS APPEAR TO BE FALLING
ACROSS NW IA AND N-CENTRAL IA WHERE COLDEST CLOUD TOP TEMPS ARE OBSERVED
IN IR (AROUND -67C).  3-HR STLT ESTIMATES DEPICT A SWATH OF 1.6-2.0"
OF RAINFALL ACROSS WOODBURY/IDA/SAC/CALHOUN/BUENA VISTA/POCAHONTAS
COUNTIES IN NW/N-CENTRAL IA.  RAINFALL RATES OF 1.0-1.5"/HR LIKELY ARE
NOW IMPACTING AREAS BETWEEN KOSSUTH AND FLOYD COUNTIES.
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ATTM THE MCS IS MOVING EWD ACROSS W IA/N-CENTRAL IA WITH A SLIGHT NWD
JOG IN THE LAST FEW IMAGES.  THE FUTURE TRACK OF THE MCS SEEMS A BIT
UNCERTAIN ATTM AS MID-LVL FLOW ACROSS E IA/SW WI/NW IL BECOME MORE
NW THAN THE NEAR DUE WESTERLY FLOW ACROSS W/CENTRAL IA WHERE THE MCS
IS NOW.  BEST SFC MOISTURE CONVERGENCE IS OBJECTIVELY ANALYZED TO BE
ACROSS S-CENTRAL TO E-CENTRAL IA (00Z ANALYSIS).  BOTH OF THESE FEATURES
WOULD SEEM TO POINT TOWARD THE MCS MAKING A ESE PUSH IN THE COMING HRS.
HOWEVER WITH HEAVIEST RAINS ALONG THE NORTHERN FRINGE OF THE MCS BEGINNING
TO NEAR S/SE MN AND SW MI..WILL GO WITH A TREND OF THE MCS MOVING EWD
ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF IA AS IT APPROACHES SW MI/E IA/NW IL BORDER.
SO EXPECTING HVY RAINS TO EXPAND ACROSS EXT S-SE MN/SW MI/E-NE IA/EXT NE
IL OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HRS WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS AROUND 1-3" POSSIBLE.
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PLEASE SEE WEB ADDRESS FOR STLT GRAPHIC IN ABOUT 10-15 MINS.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4400 9095 4062 9083 4080 9567 4392 9627
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