ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL SPENES VAZ000-WVZ000-KYZ000- . SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/05/08 1254Z SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678 LATEST DATA USED: G12 1245Z CK . LOCATION...SW VIRGINIA...SW/S WEST VIRGINIA...SE/E KENTUCKY... . ATTN WFOS...RNK...RLX...MRX...JKL... ATTN RFCS...OHRFC...LMRFC... . EVENT...WARM TOP CNVTN MOVG EWD..MOD/HVY RAIN . SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...VIS AND IR IMAGERY SHOW TO AREAS OF MOD TO HVY CNVTN. ONE IS A NARROW BAND EXTENDING FM VCNTY OF JKL ENE ACRS THE KY/WV BORDER. THE OTHER AREA IS BROADER..ALSO WARM TOP..WHICH CONSISTS OF EMBEDDED HEAVY CLUSTERS OVER SE KY TO THE SW VA BORDER AND EXTENDS TO SE TN. CURRENT IR/VIS/WV TRENDS SUGGEST THAT THESE TWO AREAS OF CVNTN WILL COMBINE/MERGE ACRS THE AREA INVOF KY/VA AND SW WV BORDERS. SEE GRAPHIC AT WEB PAGE FOR THIS DEPICTION. . DUE TO WARM TOP NATURE OF THE CNVTN STLT ESTIMATES ARE DIFFICULT TO ASCERTAIN ATTM. HOWEVER...WITH DEW POINTS IN THE 60S/PW'S AROUND 1.4-1.5"..HVY RAIN BURSTS CAN OCCUR IN SHORT PERIODS OF TIME..ESP WITH MERGERS. 0.5-1" IN AN HR CAN OCCUR..WITH SOME LOCALIZED 1"+ IN AN HR PSBL. . WV IMAGERY SHOW UPPR FLOW BACKING IN RESPONSE TO SW-NE ORIENTED SHORT WAVE NW OF THE DISCUSSION AREA. THIS SUGGESTS THAT WHILE THERE IS SOME EWD PROGRESSION OF THE CNVTN NOW..THERE MAY BE SOME SLOWING DOWN LATER ON. . SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST. ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET.... . SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES: HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/ ...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/ . LAT...LON 3783 8294 3779 8170 3709 8187 3694 8356 3742 8349 . NNNN