ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
MOZ000-ARZ000-OKZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/04/08 0111Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: G12  0100Z  CK
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RESENT...
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LOCATION...S MISSOURI...ARKANSAS...E OKLAHOMA...
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ATTN WFOS...PAH...MEG...LZK...SGF...TSA...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...TSTMS CONTINUE TO INCR INVOF SFC BOUNDARY
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...S MO/N CENTRAL AR...INITIAL SMALL CLUSTER
OF TSTMS HAS EVOLVED INTO MCS WHICH IS MOVG E WHILE EXPANDING SEWD. MCS
LIES NR AND S OF SFC FRONT AND IS WITHIN STRONG 850MB THETA-E RIDGE AXIS
AND GRADIENT. IN ADDITION...WV IMAGERY SHOWS SHORT WAVE APPROACHING FM
THE NW...WHICH IS ALSO HELPING TO INDUCE ADDITIONAL CELLS TO FORM OVER
SW MO/NW AR.
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E OK..NW/W CENTRAL AR...SIMILAR  FAVORABLE CONDITIONS EXIST PER MENTION
ABOVE..AS LINEAR BAND OF TSTMS EXPANDS AND INTENSIFIES. MERGERS ARE
TAKING PLACE..AND WILL LIKELY CONTINUE.
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WHILE THE TWO MAIN AREAS OF CNVTN REMAIN SEPARATE ATTM..WITH NEW
CELLS FORMING BETWEEN THE TWO AREAS IT IS LIKELY THAT ENOUGH MERGING
AND BACKBUILDING WILL OCCUR SO THAT..IN EFFECT..THE MCS OF S MO/N
ARK AND THE LINEAR BAND OVER OK/AR MAY COMBINE INTO ONE MCS. AS FOR
RAIN FALL.. MANUAL STLT ESTIMATES INDICATE 1-2"/HR. OVER OK AND NW/W
ARK..THERE IS LTL MOVEMENT OVERALL DUE TO TRAINING AND MERGERS..THUS
RAINFALL OF 2"PLUS/HR IS LIKELY FOR SOME LOCATIONS.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3705 9090 3530 9086 3495 9523 3568 9645 3683 9284
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