ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
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ILZ000-MOZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/03/08 0403Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0345Z  RUMINSKI
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LOCATION...ILLINOIS...MISSOURI...
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ATTN WFOS...ILX...LSX...DVN...SGF...EAX...
ATTN RFCS...NCRFC...MBRFC...
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EVENT...VERY HEAVY RAIN WITH CONVECTIVE COMPLEX OVER NORTHEAST/CENTRAL
MISSOURI
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR CONTD
HEAVY RAINFALL WITH STG CNVTN ACRS MUCH OF CENTRAL MO INTO CENTRAL/SRN
IL. LATEST SPC MESO GRAPHICS INDICATE BROAD AREA OF DEEP LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE CONV SUPPORTING CNVTN WITH PW VALUES AOA 1.70" POOLED ALG
CNVTV AXIS. UPR LEVEL FLOW HAS BEEN WEAKLY DIFFLUENT THRU THE AFTN/EVE
AND THIS HAS INCRD DUE TO CNVTV FEEDBACK PAST FEW HRS OVR ERN KS/WRN
MO. ADDITIONALLY..WITH POLAR JET AXIS SINKING S INTO NRN IA/SRN WI THIS
IS LEAVING NE MO/NRN IL IN RT ENTRANCE RGN FOR ADDED SUPPORT.
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COLDEST CLD TOPS CURRENTLY OVER ERN MO IN A SLD LN FROM NR KPPQ TO KCOU
WITH COLDEST TOPS RUNNING AT -71C. AUTOMATED STLT ESTS GIVING MAX 2-3"
AMNTS ALG THIS LN FROM CENTRAL MO INTO EXTRM WRN IL WITH BULK OF THIS
AMNT FALLING IN 1-2 HR PD. EXPECT THIS COMPLEX TO HOLD TOGETHER THRU
THE NGT AND MOV INTO SRN IL AS THE WHOLE LN CONTS TO SAG S. THIS WILL
BE SUPPORTED BY EVOLVING MESO MID LEVEL CIRC WHICH IS SEEN DEVELOPING
OVER E CENTRAL MO.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4036 9360 4028 8965 3864 8958 3854 9346
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