ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
ILZ000-MOZ000-KSZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/03/08 0106Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: G12  0045Z  CK
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LOCATION...ILLINOIS...MISSOURI...E KANSAS...
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ATTN WFOS...ILX...LSX...DVN...EAX...TOP...
ATTN RFCS...NCRFC...MBRFC...
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EVENT...PSBL MCS SITUATION SETTING UP
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...LATEST IR IMAGERY TRENDS..ALONG WITH RAOBS
AND SFC DATA OBJECTIVE ANALYSES..SUGGEST THAT A PSBL MCS SITUATION IS IN
THE WORKS AS FRONTAL TSTM BAND OVER SE NEB/S IA/NW IL PRESSES S WHILE
OTHER TSTMS OVER NE KS THRU N CENTRAL TO NE MO DEVELOP. 850MB THETA-E
ANALYSIS SHOWS STRONG SW-NE THETA-E RIDGE AXIS OVER KS/MO..WITH CENTER
OVER E KS/W MO. THETA-E ADVECTION MAX COVERS MUCH OF N HALF OF MO AND
EXTENDS TWD SE MO AS WELL..WITH BULLESEYE CENTERED VCNTY OF COU.
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CURRENT STLT TRENDS INDICATE THAT FRONTAL BAND TSTMS WILL MERGE WITH
CONVECTIVE AREAS TO THE S..OVER E KS/MO..WITH EXPANSION IN COVERAGE. THE
PRESENCE OF STRONG THETA-E RIDGE AND ADVECTION MAX..ALONG WITH SFC
CONVERGECNE MAX OVER E KS THRU CENTRAL AND N MO..AND MERGER OF CURRENT
CONVECTIVE AREAS..SUGGESTS A GOOD POSSIBILITY THAT MCS WILL EVOLVE OVER
THE E KS/N HALF OF MO AND MAY EXPAND INTO IL. ALREADY..CLUSTER OF VERY
COLD TOP TSTMS ALONG THE KS/MO BORDER..VCNTY OF MCI..IS ESTIMATED TO
HAVE PRODUCED 1-2" AND IS EXPANDING W-E. THE OUTFLOW FM THIS WILL LIKELY
MERGE WITH TSTMS OVER N CENTRAL MO IN THE NEXT HR.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4027 9506 4024 9055 3973 9052 3898 9070 3852 9557 3908
9544
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