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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/29/08 0345Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-EAST:0332Z  JS
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LOCATION...NORTHWESTERN TEXAS/EASTERN NEW MEXICO
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ATTN WFOS...LUB...AMA...ABQ...
ATTN RFCS...ABRFC...WGRFC...
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EVENT...VERY SLOW MOVING BATCH OF CONVECTION PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL
PARTICULARLY ACROSS NW TX.
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...BEST IR SATELLITE SIGNATURE WITH ANY OF
THE ACTIVITY AFFECTING W TX/E NM EXISTS WITH THE SMALL COMPLEX AFFECTING
DEAF SMITH/PARMER/CASTRO COUNTIES OF NW TX. AUTOMATED SATELLITE ESTIMATES
ARE SHOWING AT LEAST 2.5" HAS FALLEN CENTERED AROUND DEAF SMITH COUNTY
IN THE PAST 2-3 HOURS. GIVEN THE PERSISTENCE OF THIS ACTIVITY BELIEVE
LOCALIZED TOTALS EXCEEDING 3" MAY HAVE OCCURRED. SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS
GOOD SFC CONVERGENT FLOW INTO THIS SYSTEM WITH WEST WINDS OBSERVED AT
KTCC IN EASTERN NM, NORTHEAST WINDS FROM NW TX OBS INCLUDING KAMA AND
SOUTHEAST WINDS FROM KPVW AND KLBB SITES. BELIEVE THIS CONVERGENT SFC
FLOW WILL ALLOW THE STORMS TO MAINTAIN THEIR INTENSITY FOR AT LEAS THE
NEXT HOUR OR SO. SLOW AND ERRATIC MOVEMENT SHOULD ALLOW FOR CONTINUED
LOCALIZED VERY HEAVY RAINFALL. RECENT TRENDS FROM IR LOOP AS WELL AS
RADAR COMPOSITE LOOP SHOW BEST ENHANCEMENT HAS BEEN VERY SLOWLY SHIFTING
TO THE SOUTH AND EAST DURING THE PAST HOUR WHICH HAS BROUGHT HEAVY RAINS
CLOSER TO THE DEAF SMITH-RANDALL BORDER AND ALSO DOWN INTO PARMER/CASTRO
COUNTIES. NOT NEARLY AS MUCH OF A SATELLITE PRESENTATION TO WORK WITH
FOR EASTERN NEW MEXICO WITH MORE UNIFORM IR SHIELD PRESENT. RADAR
AND LIGHTNING DETECTION NETWORK DO SUPPORT SOME ADDITIONAL MODERATE TO
HEAVIER PATCHES OF RAIN MOVING WESTWARD PARTICULARLY INTO QUAY AND CURRY
COUNTIES WHERE AUTOMATED SATELLITE ESTIMATES HAVE INDICATED AT LEAST 1.5"
DURING THE PAST 2-3 HOURS.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3570 10204 3407 10165 3374 10345 3535 10389
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