ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
MOZ000-ARZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/28/08 1910Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1902Z  KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...S MISSOURI...N ARKANSAS...NE OKLAHOMA...EXT SE KANSAS...
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ATTN WFOS...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...TSA...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...NCRFC...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...CONVECTIVE COMPLEX CONTINUING TO WEAKEN BUT HVY RAIN SPREADING
OUT OVER A LARGER AREA WHERE GUIDANCE VALUES FAIRLY LOW...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...CONVECTIVE COMPLEX AFTER THE 12Z HOUR
SEEMED TO PEAK IN THE 16-17Z PERIOD AND CLOUD TOPS HAVE BEEN GENERALLY
WARMING WITH COLDEST CLOUD TOP SHRINKING.  THIS DOES NOT NECESSARILY
MEAN FF THREAT SHOULD BE DECREASING...JUST THAT THE RAINFALL INTENSITY
IS PROBABLY SLOWLY DECREASING AND AREAL EXTENT OF HIGHEST RAIN AMOUNTS
IS SHRINKING.  BECAUSE GUIDANCE VALUES ARE FAIRLY LOW...RAIN RATES, EVEN
FROM THESE WARMING CLOUD TOPS, CAN CONTINUE TO GIVE UP TO ONE INCH PER HR
RATES FROM NE OK THRU SW AND S CENTRAL MO INTO EXT N ARKANSAS NEXT 1-2HRS.
USUALLY WHEN THE AREAL EXTENT OF THE MODERATE TO HVY RAIN INCREASES WITH
WARMING CLOUD TOPS THE AREAL EXTENT OF THE HIGHEST INTENSITIES DECREASE
ALONG WITH THE RAIN RATES SO HOPING THAT TREND WILL CONTINUE SO THAT
FF THREAT DECREASES SO OVER A LARGER AREA DURING THE NEXT FEW HRS.
INTERESTING THAT THE SW MO PROFILER CONTINUES TO SHOW SWLY FLOW AT
30KTS...SO IT APPEARS TO WAINING LOW LEVEL JET WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE
GOOD MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO S CENTRAL MO FOR CONTINUED HVY RAIN THERE
AND WILL BE KEEPING AN EYE IN ITS PROGRESS INTO SE MO AND FAR N AR REST
OF THE AFTERNOON.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3766 9283 3743 9000 3641 9004 3630 9510 3712 9478
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